Recent U.S.-Iran diplomatic progress and expectations of Strait of Hormuz reopening have driven WTI crude prices sharply lower to around $81 per barrel as of June 15, 2026, down more than 20% from May peaks above $100 amid supply disruptions. The de facto closure since late February triggered major inventory draws and elevated risk premiums, but reports of a potential ceasefire and resumed flows are shifting trader sentiment toward normalization. EIA projections assume sustained tightness with Brent near $105 through July, yet futures markets price in faster supply restoration. Key near-term catalysts include weekly inventory releases, OPEC+ signals, and any final diplomatic confirmations that could further pressure prices before month-end resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于原油（ CL ）高于6月底的___ ？
原油（ CL ）高于6月底的___ ？
$138,723 交易量
2026-06-30
90美元
25%
85美元
24%
80美元
36%
75美元
83%
70美元
93%
65美元
97%
63美元
95%
60美元
97%
56美元
99%
$55
98%
52美元
99%
50美元
99%
$138,723 交易量
90美元
$27,574 交易量
25%
85美元
$8,019 交易量
24%
80美元
$6,834 交易量
36%
75美元
$17,312 交易量
83%
70美元
$20,410 交易量
93%
65美元
$972 交易量
97%
63美元
$9,291 交易量
95%
60美元
$23,946 交易量
97%
56美元
$5,136 交易量
99%
$55
$3,741 交易量
98%
52美元
$6,389 交易量
99%
50美元
$9,104 交易量
99%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Recent U.S.-Iran diplomatic progress and expectations of Strait of Hormuz reopening have driven WTI crude prices sharply lower to around $81 per barrel as of June 15, 2026, down more than 20% from May peaks above $100 amid supply disruptions. The de facto closure since late February triggered major inventory draws and elevated risk premiums, but reports of a potential ceasefire and resumed flows are shifting trader sentiment toward normalization. EIA projections assume sustained tightness with Brent near $105 through July, yet futures markets price in faster supply restoration. Key near-term catalysts include weekly inventory releases, OPEC+ signals, and any final diplomatic confirmations that could further pressure prices before month-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
市场开放时间： Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
交易量
$138,723结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Recent U.S.-Iran diplomatic progress and expectations of Strait of Hormuz reopening have driven WTI crude prices sharply lower to around $81 per barrel as of June 15, 2026, down more than 20% from May peaks above $100 amid supply disruptions. The de facto closure since late February triggered major inventory draws and elevated risk premiums, but reports of a potential ceasefire and resumed flows are shifting trader sentiment toward normalization. EIA projections assume sustained tightness with Brent near $105 through July, yet futures markets price in faster supply restoration. Key near-term catalysts include weekly inventory releases, OPEC+ signals, and any final diplomatic confirmations that could further pressure prices before month-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
交易量
$138,723结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETRecent U.S.-Iran diplomatic progress and expectations of Strait of Hormuz reopening have driven WTI crude prices sharply lower to around $81 per barrel as of June 15, 2026, down more than 20% from May peaks above $100 amid supply disruptions. The de facto closure since late February triggered major inventory draws and elevated risk premiums, but reports of a potential ceasefire and resumed flows are shifting trader sentiment toward normalization. EIA projections assume sustained tightness with Brent near $105 through July, yet futures markets price in faster supply restoration. Key near-term catalysts include weekly inventory releases, OPEC+ signals, and any final diplomatic confirmations that could further pressure prices before month-end resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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