Recent geopolitical developments centered on U.S.-Iran negotiations and potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz have driven sharp volatility in WTI crude futures, with front-month CLN26 prices falling over 3% on June 14 to around $84.88 amid reports of easing supply risks after earlier spikes above $90. Persistent production shut-ins averaging over 11 million barrels per day have tightened global inventories, supporting elevated levels near $105 forecasts from the EIA for June-July, yet softening demand signals and peace-talk optimism are pressuring near-term pricing. Traders are watching upcoming EIA inventory data, any final diplomatic announcements, and seasonal demand patterns as key catalysts that could shift the market-implied odds for an end-of-June close above key thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于原油（ CL ）高于6月底的___ ？
原油（ CL ）高于6月底的___ ？
$137,584 交易量
2026-06-30
90美元
40%
85美元
51%
80美元
72%
75美元
83%
70美元
93%
65美元
95%
63美元
96%
60美元
97%
56美元
98%
$55
98%
52美元
99%
50美元
99%
$137,584 交易量
90美元
$27,187 交易量
40%
85美元
$7,825 交易量
51%
80美元
$6,658 交易量
72%
75美元
$17,181 交易量
83%
70美元
$20,410 交易量
93%
65美元
$935 交易量
95%
63美元
$9,181 交易量
96%
60美元
$23,946 交易量
97%
56美元
$5,089 交易量
98%
$55
$3,741 交易量
98%
52美元
$6,389 交易量
99%
50美元
$9,104 交易量
99%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Recent geopolitical developments centered on U.S.-Iran negotiations and potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz have driven sharp volatility in WTI crude futures, with front-month CLN26 prices falling over 3% on June 14 to around $84.88 amid reports of easing supply risks after earlier spikes above $90. Persistent production shut-ins averaging over 11 million barrels per day have tightened global inventories, supporting elevated levels near $105 forecasts from the EIA for June-July, yet softening demand signals and peace-talk optimism are pressuring near-term pricing. Traders are watching upcoming EIA inventory data, any final diplomatic announcements, and seasonal demand patterns as key catalysts that could shift the market-implied odds for an end-of-June close above key thresholds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
市场开放时间： Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
交易量
$137,584结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Recent geopolitical developments centered on U.S.-Iran negotiations and potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz have driven sharp volatility in WTI crude futures, with front-month CLN26 prices falling over 3% on June 14 to around $84.88 amid reports of easing supply risks after earlier spikes above $90. Persistent production shut-ins averaging over 11 million barrels per day have tightened global inventories, supporting elevated levels near $105 forecasts from the EIA for June-July, yet softening demand signals and peace-talk optimism are pressuring near-term pricing. Traders are watching upcoming EIA inventory data, any final diplomatic announcements, and seasonal demand patterns as key catalysts that could shift the market-implied odds for an end-of-June close above key thresholds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
交易量
$137,584结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETRecent geopolitical developments centered on U.S.-Iran negotiations and potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz have driven sharp volatility in WTI crude futures, with front-month CLN26 prices falling over 3% on June 14 to around $84.88 amid reports of easing supply risks after earlier spikes above $90. Persistent production shut-ins averaging over 11 million barrels per day have tightened global inventories, supporting elevated levels near $105 forecasts from the EIA for June-July, yet softening demand signals and peace-talk optimism are pressuring near-term pricing. Traders are watching upcoming EIA inventory data, any final diplomatic announcements, and seasonal demand patterns as key catalysts that could shift the market-implied odds for an end-of-June close above key thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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