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体育·一级方程式赛车

巴林大奖赛：车手登上领奖台

Market icon
体育·一级方程式赛车

巴林大奖赛：车手登上领奖台

$106,161 交易量

2026-04-19
Polymarket

$106,161 交易量

Polymarket

皮埃尔·加斯利

$8,189 交易量

52%

费尔南多·阿隆索

$17,609 交易量

50%

亚历山大·阿尔本

$11,225 交易量

52%

Gabriel Bortoleto

$6,045 交易量

48%

塞尔吉奥·佩雷斯

$11,128 交易量

49%

夏尔·勒克莱尔

$1,174 交易量

51%

埃斯特班·奥孔

$4,423 交易量

51%

兰多·诺里斯

$846 交易量

50%

安德烈亚·基米·安托内利

$1,955 交易量

48%

马克斯·维斯塔潘

$655 交易量

50%

Franco Colapinto

$5,630 交易量

47%

卡洛斯·塞恩斯 Jr.

$4,145 交易量

51%

尼科·霍肯伯格

$3,647 交易量

50%

瓦尔特利·博塔斯

$9,418 交易量

52%

刘易斯·汉密尔顿

$2,949 交易量

50%

奥利弗·贝尔曼

$2,079 交易量

52%

奥斯卡·皮亚斯特里

$1,122 交易量

51%

乔治·拉塞尔

$4,771 交易量

51%

Arvid Lindblad

$2,108 交易量

52%

伊萨克·哈贾尔

$2,515 交易量

52%

利亚姆·劳森

$4,529 交易量

50%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed driver finishes within the top three positions in the official "Final Classification" for the F1 Bahrain Grand Prix, scheduled for Apr 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The "Final Classification" is published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. It is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. If the Bahrain Grand Prix is postponed, this market will remain open until the event has been completed. If the Bahrain Grand Prix is permanently canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.The cancellation of the 2026 Bahrain Grand Prix, announced by Formula 1 on March 14 amid escalating Middle East conflict involving regional war, stands as the dominant factor shaping trader consensus for driver podium finish markets, rendering traditional race analysis irrelevant. Originally slated for April 12 at the abrasive Sakhir circuit—known for high tire degradation, overtaking via DRS zones, and night racing conditions—the event's permanent removal from the 24-race calendar prioritizes safety, with no rescheduling indicated. Pre-announcement, Mercedes' championship-leading form, led by Kimi Antonelli's top driver standings position after strong Australia, China, and Japan results plus dominant pre-season Bahrain testing, favored their duo alongside George Russell for podium contention; midfield risers like Pierre Gasly drew interest via recent momentum. Resolution now depends on market rules for voided Grands Prix, balancing geopolitical finality against any unforeseen reinstatement.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed driver finishes within the top three positions in the official "Final Classification" for the F1 Bahrain Grand Prix, scheduled for Apr 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The "Final Classification" is published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. It is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends.

Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.

If the Bahrain Grand Prix is postponed, this market will remain open until the event has been completed. If the Bahrain Grand Prix is permanently canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易量
$106,161
结束日期
2026-04-19
市场开放时间
Mar 14, 2026, 7:30 AM ET

结算来源

https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed driver finishes within the top three positions in the official "Final Classification" for the F1 Bahrain Grand Prix, scheduled for Apr 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The "Final Classification" is published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. It is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. If the Bahrain Grand Prix is postponed, this market will remain open until the event has been completed. If the Bahrain Grand Prix is permanently canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed driver finishes within the top three positions in the official "Final Classification" for the F1 Bahrain Grand Prix, scheduled for Apr 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The "Final Classification" is published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. It is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. If the Bahrain Grand Prix is postponed, this market will remain open until the event has been completed. If the Bahrain Grand Prix is permanently canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.The cancellation of the 2026 Bahrain Grand Prix, announced by Formula 1 on March 14 amid escalating Middle East conflict involving regional war, stands as the dominant factor shaping trader consensus for driver podium finish markets, rendering traditional race analysis irrelevant. Originally slated for April 12 at the abrasive Sakhir circuit—known for high tire degradation, overtaking via DRS zones, and night racing conditions—the event's permanent removal from the 24-race calendar prioritizes safety, with no rescheduling indicated. Pre-announcement, Mercedes' championship-leading form, led by Kimi Antonelli's top driver standings position after strong Australia, China, and Japan results plus dominant pre-season Bahrain testing, favored their duo alongside George Russell for podium contention; midfield risers like Pierre Gasly drew interest via recent momentum. Resolution now depends on market rules for voided Grands Prix, balancing geopolitical finality against any unforeseen reinstatement.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed driver finishes within the top three positions in the official "Final Classification" for the F1 Bahrain Grand Prix, scheduled for Apr 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The "Final Classification" is published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. It is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends.

Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.

If the Bahrain Grand Prix is postponed, this market will remain open until the event has been completed. If the Bahrain Grand Prix is permanently canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易量
$106,161
结束日期
2026-04-19
市场开放时间
Mar 14, 2026, 7:30 AM ET

结算来源

https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed driver finishes within the top three positions in the official "Final Classification" for the F1 Bahrain Grand Prix, scheduled for Apr 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The "Final Classification" is published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. It is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. If the Bahrain Grand Prix is postponed, this market will remain open until the event has been completed. If the Bahrain Grand Prix is permanently canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"巴林大奖赛：车手登上领奖台"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 21 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"皮埃尔·加斯利"，概率为 52%，其次是"亚历山大·阿尔本"，概率为 52%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 52¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 52%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"巴林大奖赛：车手登上领奖台"已产生 $106.2K 的总交易量（自Mar 14, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"巴林大奖赛：车手登上领奖台"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 21 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"巴林大奖赛：车手登上领奖台"的当前领先者是"皮埃尔·加斯利"，概率为 52%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 52%。紧随其后的结果是"亚历山大·阿尔本"，概率为 52%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"巴林大奖赛：车手登上领奖台"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。