Mercedes holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Constructors' Championship standings with 135 points after the opening races, including a 1-2 finish at the Australian Grand Prix and victories in the first three Grands Prix, driving trader consensus to price them at 76.5% implied probability amid new active aerodynamics and power unit regulations favoring their chassis balance and reliability. Ferrari trails at 90 points with strong contributions from Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton, positioning them as the primary challenger at 11.5%, while McLaren's consistent podiums yield 46 points for 7.4% odds. Red Bull's fundamental balance issues have capped them at 16 points and 1.9%, with midfield teams like Haas and Alpine showing surprise form but lacking the pace for a title run. Recent Mercedes dominance in qualifying and race pace has widened the gap, though potential engine upgrades could narrow it later in the 24-race season.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于梅赛德斯 77%
法拉利 12%
分组项标题：迈凯伦 7.4%
红牛车队 1.9%
$13,762,023 交易量
$13,762,023 交易量
2026-12-06
梅赛德斯
77%
法拉利
12%
分组项标题：迈凯伦
7%
红牛车队
2%
阿斯顿马丁
1%
Audi
1%
凯迪拉克
1%
威廉姆斯
<1%
Racing Bulls
<1%
哈斯
<1%
阿尔派
<1%
梅赛德斯 77%
法拉利 12%
分组项标题：迈凯伦 7.4%
红牛车队 1.9%
$13,762,023 交易量
$13,762,023 交易量
2026-12-06
梅赛德斯
$548,082 交易量
77%
法拉利
$280,620 交易量
12%
分组项标题：迈凯伦
$1,332,764 交易量
7%
红牛车队
$483,317 交易量
2%
阿斯顿马丁
$1,615,171 交易量
1%
Audi
$1,547,484 交易量
1%
凯迪拉克
$1,292,231 交易量
1%
威廉姆斯
$1,828,272 交易量
<1%
Racing Bulls
$1,512,703 交易量
<1%
哈斯
$1,651,999 交易量
<1%
阿尔派
$1,670,742 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Constructors' Championship standings with 135 points after the opening races, including a 1-2 finish at the Australian Grand Prix and victories in the first three Grands Prix, driving trader consensus to price them at 76.5% implied probability amid new active aerodynamics and power unit regulations favoring their chassis balance and reliability. Ferrari trails at 90 points with strong contributions from Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton, positioning them as the primary challenger at 11.5%, while McLaren's consistent podiums yield 46 points for 7.4% odds. Red Bull's fundamental balance issues have capped them at 16 points and 1.9%, with midfield teams like Haas and Alpine showing surprise form but lacking the pace for a title run. Recent Mercedes dominance in qualifying and race pace has widened the gap, though potential engine upgrades could narrow it later in the 24-race season.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
市场开放时间： Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
交易量
$13,762,023结束日期
2026-12-06市场开放时间
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Constructors' Championship standings with 135 points after the opening races, including a 1-2 finish at the Australian Grand Prix and victories in the first three Grands Prix, driving trader consensus to price them at 76.5% implied probability amid new active aerodynamics and power unit regulations favoring their chassis balance and reliability. Ferrari trails at 90 points with strong contributions from Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton, positioning them as the primary challenger at 11.5%, while McLaren's consistent podiums yield 46 points for 7.4% odds. Red Bull's fundamental balance issues have capped them at 16 points and 1.9%, with midfield teams like Haas and Alpine showing surprise form but lacking the pace for a title run. Recent Mercedes dominance in qualifying and race pace has widened the gap, though potential engine upgrades could narrow it later in the 24-race season.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
交易量
$13,762,023结束日期
2026-12-06市场开放时间
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Constructors' Championship standings with 135 points after the opening races, including a 1-2 finish at the Australian Grand Prix and victories in the first three Grands Prix, driving trader consensus to price them at 76.5% implied probability amid new active aerodynamics and power unit regulations favoring their chassis balance and reliability. Ferrari trails at 90 points with strong contributions from Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton, positioning them as the primary challenger at 11.5%, while McLaren's consistent podiums yield 46 points for 7.4% odds. Red Bull's fundamental balance issues have capped them at 16 points and 1.9%, with midfield teams like Haas and Alpine showing surprise form but lacking the pace for a title run. Recent Mercedes dominance in qualifying and race pace has widened the gap, though potential engine upgrades could narrow it later in the 24-race season.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题