Mercedes holds a commanding 45-point lead in the Constructors' Championship with 135 points after the first three Grands Prix of 2026, driving trader consensus to price them at 76% implied probability for the title thanks to rookie Kimi Antonelli's China victory and George Russell's Australian win, plus consistent maximum points hauls amid superior power unit energy management under new hybrid regulations. Ferrari trails at 90 points with competitive pace from Charles Leclerc but hampered by strategic missteps like the Australian virtual safety car pit call, positioning them second at 11.5%; McLaren's recent Japan podium via Oscar Piastri elevates them to 7.1% amid recovery signs. Red Bull languishes on 16 points with RB22 reliability woes, reflected in their slim 1.9% odds, while rivals eye Miami upgrades before Mercedes' compression ratio advantage ends at Monaco.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于梅赛德斯 76%
法拉利 12%
分组项标题：迈凯伦 7.2%
红牛车队 1.9%
$13,883,412 交易量
$13,883,412 交易量
2026-12-06
梅赛德斯
76%
法拉利
12%
分组项标题：迈凯伦
7%
红牛车队
2%
阿斯顿马丁
1%
Audi
1%
凯迪拉克
1%
威廉姆斯
<1%
Racing Bulls
<1%
哈斯
<1%
阿尔派
<1%
梅赛德斯 76%
法拉利 12%
分组项标题：迈凯伦 7.2%
红牛车队 1.9%
$13,883,412 交易量
$13,883,412 交易量
2026-12-06
梅赛德斯
$548,552 交易量
76%
法拉利
$280,966 交易量
12%
分组项标题：迈凯伦
$1,334,550 交易量
7%
红牛车队
$485,594 交易量
2%
阿斯顿马丁
$1,615,532 交易量
1%
Audi
$1,547,581 交易量
1%
凯迪拉克
$1,307,294 交易量
1%
威廉姆斯
$1,850,336 交易量
<1%
Racing Bulls
$1,539,218 交易量
<1%
哈斯
$1,673,859 交易量
<1%
阿尔派
$1,700,403 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes holds a commanding 45-point lead in the Constructors' Championship with 135 points after the first three Grands Prix of 2026, driving trader consensus to price them at 76% implied probability for the title thanks to rookie Kimi Antonelli's China victory and George Russell's Australian win, plus consistent maximum points hauls amid superior power unit energy management under new hybrid regulations. Ferrari trails at 90 points with competitive pace from Charles Leclerc but hampered by strategic missteps like the Australian virtual safety car pit call, positioning them second at 11.5%; McLaren's recent Japan podium via Oscar Piastri elevates them to 7.1% amid recovery signs. Red Bull languishes on 16 points with RB22 reliability woes, reflected in their slim 1.9% odds, while rivals eye Miami upgrades before Mercedes' compression ratio advantage ends at Monaco.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
市场开放时间： Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
交易量
$13,883,412结束日期
2026-12-06市场开放时间
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes holds a commanding 45-point lead in the Constructors' Championship with 135 points after the first three Grands Prix of 2026, driving trader consensus to price them at 76% implied probability for the title thanks to rookie Kimi Antonelli's China victory and George Russell's Australian win, plus consistent maximum points hauls amid superior power unit energy management under new hybrid regulations. Ferrari trails at 90 points with competitive pace from Charles Leclerc but hampered by strategic missteps like the Australian virtual safety car pit call, positioning them second at 11.5%; McLaren's recent Japan podium via Oscar Piastri elevates them to 7.1% amid recovery signs. Red Bull languishes on 16 points with RB22 reliability woes, reflected in their slim 1.9% odds, while rivals eye Miami upgrades before Mercedes' compression ratio advantage ends at Monaco.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
交易量
$13,883,412结束日期
2026-12-06市场开放时间
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes holds a commanding 45-point lead in the Constructors' Championship with 135 points after the first three Grands Prix of 2026, driving trader consensus to price them at 76% implied probability for the title thanks to rookie Kimi Antonelli's China victory and George Russell's Australian win, plus consistent maximum points hauls amid superior power unit energy management under new hybrid regulations. Ferrari trails at 90 points with competitive pace from Charles Leclerc but hampered by strategic missteps like the Australian virtual safety car pit call, positioning them second at 11.5%; McLaren's recent Japan podium via Oscar Piastri elevates them to 7.1% amid recovery signs. Red Bull languishes on 16 points with RB22 reliability woes, reflected in their slim 1.9% odds, while rivals eye Miami upgrades before Mercedes' compression ratio advantage ends at Monaco.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题