Latest KNMI and Buienradar forecasts peg Amsterdam's April 18 maximum temperature at 15-16°C under a cool westerly flow carrying maritime air from the North Sea, with partly cloudy skies, 25-50% precipitation chances, and light winds limiting mixing. Trader consensus favors 14°C at 37.5% implied probability over 15°C (29.5%) and 13°C (19.5%), reflecting ensemble spread in ECMWF and GFS models where variable cloud cover could reduce insolation by 20-30%, capping peaks at Schiphol Airport station—the market's Wunderground resolution source. Persistent showers favor cooler outcomes, while brief clearing might push toward 15-16°C; final hourly observations tomorrow will resolve amid typical mid-April climatology averaging 13-14°C highs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 18?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 18?
14°C 38%
15°C 30%
13°C 20%
16°C 12%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
4%
13°C
20%
14°C
38%
15°C
30%
16°C
12%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
14°C 38%
15°C 30%
13°C 20%
16°C 12%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
4%
13°C
20%
14°C
38%
15°C
30%
16°C
12%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 16, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest KNMI and Buienradar forecasts peg Amsterdam's April 18 maximum temperature at 15-16°C under a cool westerly flow carrying maritime air from the North Sea, with partly cloudy skies, 25-50% precipitation chances, and light winds limiting mixing. Trader consensus favors 14°C at 37.5% implied probability over 15°C (29.5%) and 13°C (19.5%), reflecting ensemble spread in ECMWF and GFS models where variable cloud cover could reduce insolation by 20-30%, capping peaks at Schiphol Airport station—the market's Wunderground resolution source. Persistent showers favor cooler outcomes, while brief clearing might push toward 15-16°C; final hourly observations tomorrow will resolve amid typical mid-April climatology averaging 13-14°C highs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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