Official KNMI observations at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol—the market's designated resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 20 reached exactly 12°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability on that outcome as provisional data solidifies post-midnight. This aligns with cool maritime airflow from northwesterly winds at 3 Beaufort, scattered showers, and cloudy conditions limiting solar heating, consistent with ECMWF model guidance from the prior 48 hours predicting highs in the 11–13°C range. Historical April norms around 13°C provide context, though recent weeks' variable spring patterns underscore measurement precision from automated sensors. Revisions remain theoretically possible if data audits reveal sensor anomalies, but such changes are exceedingly rare after 24 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 20?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 20?
12°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$123,284 交易量
$123,284 交易量
2026-04-20
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$123,284 交易量
$123,284 交易量
2026-04-20
8°C or below
$2,134 交易量
No
9°C
$7,785 交易量
No
10°C
$42,651 交易量
No
11°C
$23,305 交易量
No
12°C
$15,669 交易量
Yes
13°C
$11,649 交易量
No
14°C
$10,253 交易量
No
15°C
$3,607 交易量
No
16°C
$1,979 交易量
No
17°C
$1,856 交易量
No
18°C or higher
$2,396 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official KNMI observations at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol—the market's designated resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 20 reached exactly 12°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability on that outcome as provisional data solidifies post-midnight. This aligns with cool maritime airflow from northwesterly winds at 3 Beaufort, scattered showers, and cloudy conditions limiting solar heating, consistent with ECMWF model guidance from the prior 48 hours predicting highs in the 11–13°C range. Historical April norms around 13°C provide context, though recent weeks' variable spring patterns underscore measurement precision from automated sensors. Revisions remain theoretically possible if data audits reveal sensor anomalies, but such changes are exceedingly rare after 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 18, 2026, 12:40 AM ET
交易量
$123,284结束日期
2026-04-20市场开放时间
Apr 18, 2026, 12:40 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official KNMI observations at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol—the market's designated resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 20 reached exactly 12°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability on that outcome as provisional data solidifies post-midnight. This aligns with cool maritime airflow from northwesterly winds at 3 Beaufort, scattered showers, and cloudy conditions limiting solar heating, consistent with ECMWF model guidance from the prior 48 hours predicting highs in the 11–13°C range. Historical April norms around 13°C provide context, though recent weeks' variable spring patterns underscore measurement precision from automated sensors. Revisions remain theoretically possible if data audits reveal sensor anomalies, but such changes are exceedingly rare after 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$123,284结束日期
2026-04-20市场开放时间
Apr 18, 2026, 12:40 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official KNMI observations at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol—the market's designated resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 20 reached exactly 12°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability on that outcome as provisional data solidifies post-midnight. This aligns with cool maritime airflow from northwesterly winds at 3 Beaufort, scattered showers, and cloudy conditions limiting solar heating, consistent with ECMWF model guidance from the prior 48 hours predicting highs in the 11–13°C range. Historical April norms around 13°C provide context, though recent weeks' variable spring patterns underscore measurement precision from automated sensors. Revisions remain theoretically possible if data audits reveal sensor anomalies, but such changes are exceedingly rare after 24 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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