KNMI observations at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol, the official resolution source, confirm the highest temperature on May 6 reached 15°C during early afternoon hours, amid persistent overcast skies and light northerly winds suppressing daytime heating. This aligns with 24-48 hour forecast consensus from KNMI and ECMWF models projecting maxima of 12-16°C under a cool air mass steered by a Scandinavian high-pressure block, consistent with early May climatology averaging 15-16°C highs. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects real-time data validation as evening cools to 11-12°C; only an unlikely late sunbreak enabling rapid insolation before sunset around 21:15 could push readings to 16°C or higher, per ensemble model uncertainty ranges. Final KNMI daily summary expected shortly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 6?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 6?
15°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$55,515 交易量
$55,515 交易量
2026-05-06
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$55,515 交易量
$55,515 交易量
2026-05-06
7°C or below
$270 交易量
No
8°C
$294 交易量
No
9°C
$401 交易量
No
10°C
$622 交易量
No
11°C
$2,986 交易量
No
12°C
$3,589 交易量
No
13°C
$9,005 交易量
No
14°C
$8,107 交易量
No
15°C
$10,647 交易量
Yes
16°C
$11,256 交易量
No
17°C or higher
$8,339 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.KNMI observations at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol, the official resolution source, confirm the highest temperature on May 6 reached 15°C during early afternoon hours, amid persistent overcast skies and light northerly winds suppressing daytime heating. This aligns with 24-48 hour forecast consensus from KNMI and ECMWF models projecting maxima of 12-16°C under a cool air mass steered by a Scandinavian high-pressure block, consistent with early May climatology averaging 15-16°C highs. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects real-time data validation as evening cools to 11-12°C; only an unlikely late sunbreak enabling rapid insolation before sunset around 21:15 could push readings to 16°C or higher, per ensemble model uncertainty ranges. Final KNMI daily summary expected shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 4, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
交易量
$55,515结束日期
2026-05-06市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 12:55 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.KNMI observations at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol, the official resolution source, confirm the highest temperature on May 6 reached 15°C during early afternoon hours, amid persistent overcast skies and light northerly winds suppressing daytime heating. This aligns with 24-48 hour forecast consensus from KNMI and ECMWF models projecting maxima of 12-16°C under a cool air mass steered by a Scandinavian high-pressure block, consistent with early May climatology averaging 15-16°C highs. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects real-time data validation as evening cools to 11-12°C; only an unlikely late sunbreak enabling rapid insolation before sunset around 21:15 could push readings to 16°C or higher, per ensemble model uncertainty ranges. Final KNMI daily summary expected shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$55,515结束日期
2026-05-06市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 12:55 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
KNMI observations at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol, the official resolution source, confirm the highest temperature on May 6 reached 15°C during early afternoon hours, amid persistent overcast skies and light northerly winds suppressing daytime heating. This aligns with 24-48 hour forecast consensus from KNMI and ECMWF models projecting maxima of 12-16°C under a cool air mass steered by a Scandinavian high-pressure block, consistent with early May climatology averaging 15-16°C highs. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects real-time data validation as evening cools to 11-12°C; only an unlikely late sunbreak enabling rapid insolation before sunset around 21:15 could push readings to 16°C or higher, per ensemble model uncertainty ranges. Final KNMI daily summary expected shortly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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