Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in numerical weather prediction models for Ankara's highest temperature at Esenboğa Airport on April 14, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles diverging sharply: cooler members cluster at 10–12°C under persistent northerly flow from a lingering upper-level trough, while warmer outliers project 21–23°C amid potential high-pressure ridging and enhanced diurnal heating. Recent developments include a multi-day cold outbreak through April 12, with observed highs of 7–11°C amid cloudy conditions and light precipitation, per Turkish State Meteorological Service data—far below April climatological averages of 16–17°C. Key differentiators are trough exit timing and 500 hPa height recovery; new 00Z model runs and MGM updates expected within 24 hours could sharpen odds before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Ankara on April 14?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 14?
17°C 23%
18°C 15%
19°C 14%
20°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-14
11°C or below
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
10%
15°C
12%
16°C
22%
17°C
23%
18°C
15%
19°C
14%
20°C
14%
21°C or higher
5%
17°C 23%
18°C 15%
19°C 14%
20°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-14
11°C or below
$133 交易量
1%
12°C
$570 交易量
1%
13°C
$583 交易量
1%
14°C
$0 交易量
10%
15°C
$0 交易量
12%
16°C
$32 交易量
22%
17°C
$5 交易量
23%
18°C
$71 交易量
15%
19°C
$12 交易量
14%
20°C
$3 交易量
14%
21°C or higher
$5 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in numerical weather prediction models for Ankara's highest temperature at Esenboğa Airport on April 14, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles diverging sharply: cooler members cluster at 10–12°C under persistent northerly flow from a lingering upper-level trough, while warmer outliers project 21–23°C amid potential high-pressure ridging and enhanced diurnal heating. Recent developments include a multi-day cold outbreak through April 12, with observed highs of 7–11°C amid cloudy conditions and light precipitation, per Turkish State Meteorological Service data—far below April climatological averages of 16–17°C. Key differentiators are trough exit timing and 500 hPa height recovery; new 00Z model runs and MGM updates expected within 24 hours could sharpen odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 12, 2026, 12:35 AM ET
交易量
$1,404结束日期
2026-04-14市场开放时间
Apr 12, 2026, 12:35 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in numerical weather prediction models for Ankara's highest temperature at Esenboğa Airport on April 14, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles diverging sharply: cooler members cluster at 10–12°C under persistent northerly flow from a lingering upper-level trough, while warmer outliers project 21–23°C amid potential high-pressure ridging and enhanced diurnal heating. Recent developments include a multi-day cold outbreak through April 12, with observed highs of 7–11°C amid cloudy conditions and light precipitation, per Turkish State Meteorological Service data—far below April climatological averages of 16–17°C. Key differentiators are trough exit timing and 500 hPa height recovery; new 00Z model runs and MGM updates expected within 24 hours could sharpen odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,404结束日期
2026-04-14市场开放时间
Apr 12, 2026, 12:35 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in numerical weather prediction models for Ankara's highest temperature at Esenboğa Airport on April 14, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles diverging sharply: cooler members cluster at 10–12°C under persistent northerly flow from a lingering upper-level trough, while warmer outliers project 21–23°C amid potential high-pressure ridging and enhanced diurnal heating. Recent developments include a multi-day cold outbreak through April 12, with observed highs of 7–11°C amid cloudy conditions and light precipitation, per Turkish State Meteorological Service data—far below April climatological averages of 16–17°C. Key differentiators are trough exit timing and 500 hPa height recovery; new 00Z model runs and MGM updates expected within 24 hours could sharpen odds before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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