Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 21°C (29.5%) and 20°C (28.5%) as the highest temperature in Ankara on April 16, reflecting tight ensemble spreads in the latest ECMWF and GFS model runs projecting daytime highs of 20-22°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds. These forecasts stem from a building high-pressure ridge over central Anatolia fostering mild spring warming after cooler early-April averages around 11°C, with today's observations near 20°C supporting the upward trend. Official sources like AccuWeather (21°C high) and BBC Weather (21°C max) align with this clustering, though inherent short-range uncertainty from variable cloud cover and diel heating cycles keeps 19°C viable at 23.5%. MGM updates and hourly observations tomorrow will sharpen resolution before local midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月16日安卡拉的最高温度?
4月16日安卡拉的最高温度?
20°C 30%
21°C 29%
19°C 27%
18°C 9%
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
9%
19°C
27%
20°C
30%
21°C
29%
22°C
8%
23°C
3%
24°C或更高
<1%
20°C 30%
21°C 29%
19°C 27%
18°C 9%
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
9%
19°C
27%
20°C
30%
21°C
29%
22°C
8%
23°C
3%
24°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 21°C (29.5%) and 20°C (28.5%) as the highest temperature in Ankara on April 16, reflecting tight ensemble spreads in the latest ECMWF and GFS model runs projecting daytime highs of 20-22°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds. These forecasts stem from a building high-pressure ridge over central Anatolia fostering mild spring warming after cooler early-April averages around 11°C, with today's observations near 20°C supporting the upward trend. Official sources like AccuWeather (21°C high) and BBC Weather (21°C max) align with this clustering, though inherent short-range uncertainty from variable cloud cover and diel heating cycles keeps 19°C viable at 23.5%. MGM updates and hourly observations tomorrow will sharpen resolution before local midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题