Trader consensus on Polymarket closely mirrors the latest Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) forecast of a 21°C high for Ankara on April 17 amid thunderstorms and rain, with implied probabilities peaking at 31.5% for 21°C, 25.5% for 20°C, and 17% for 22°C. This tight clustering reflects model agreement from ECMWF and GFS ensembles projecting mild spring conditions under a weakening high-pressure ridge, following cooler recent days with highs near 16°C. Differentiating factors include thunderstorm timing and afternoon cloud cover, which could suppress peak insolation and cap temperatures at 20°C or allow brief clearing for 22°C; historical mid-April averages hover at 16-17°C, underscoring the forecast's above-climatology warmth. New MGM updates and model runs expected April 16 morning will refine these uncertainties.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Ankara on April 17?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 17?
21°C 32%
20°C 24%
19°C 16%
22°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-17
15°C or below
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
5%
19°C
17%
20°C
26%
21°C
32%
22°C
16%
23°C
5%
24°C
4%
25°C or higher
1%
21°C 32%
20°C 24%
19°C 16%
22°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-17
15°C or below
$665 交易量
1%
16°C
$434 交易量
2%
17°C
$149 交易量
2%
18°C
$38 交易量
5%
19°C
$27 交易量
17%
20°C
$169 交易量
26%
21°C
$0 交易量
32%
22°C
$201 交易量
16%
23°C
$190 交易量
5%
24°C
$310 交易量
4%
25°C or higher
$343 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely mirrors the latest Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) forecast of a 21°C high for Ankara on April 17 amid thunderstorms and rain, with implied probabilities peaking at 31.5% for 21°C, 25.5% for 20°C, and 17% for 22°C. This tight clustering reflects model agreement from ECMWF and GFS ensembles projecting mild spring conditions under a weakening high-pressure ridge, following cooler recent days with highs near 16°C. Differentiating factors include thunderstorm timing and afternoon cloud cover, which could suppress peak insolation and cap temperatures at 20°C or allow brief clearing for 22°C; historical mid-April averages hover at 16-17°C, underscoring the forecast's above-climatology warmth. New MGM updates and model runs expected April 16 morning will refine these uncertainties.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$2,511结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely mirrors the latest Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) forecast of a 21°C high for Ankara on April 17 amid thunderstorms and rain, with implied probabilities peaking at 31.5% for 21°C, 25.5% for 20°C, and 17% for 22°C. This tight clustering reflects model agreement from ECMWF and GFS ensembles projecting mild spring conditions under a weakening high-pressure ridge, following cooler recent days with highs near 16°C. Differentiating factors include thunderstorm timing and afternoon cloud cover, which could suppress peak insolation and cap temperatures at 20°C or allow brief clearing for 22°C; historical mid-April averages hover at 16-17°C, underscoring the forecast's above-climatology warmth. New MGM updates and model runs expected April 16 morning will refine these uncertainties.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$2,511结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket closely mirrors the latest Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) forecast of a 21°C high for Ankara on April 17 amid thunderstorms and rain, with implied probabilities peaking at 31.5% for 21°C, 25.5% for 20°C, and 17% for 22°C. This tight clustering reflects model agreement from ECMWF and GFS ensembles projecting mild spring conditions under a weakening high-pressure ridge, following cooler recent days with highs near 16°C. Differentiating factors include thunderstorm timing and afternoon cloud cover, which could suppress peak insolation and cap temperatures at 20°C or allow brief clearing for 22°C; historical mid-April averages hover at 16-17°C, underscoring the forecast's above-climatology warmth. New MGM updates and model runs expected April 16 morning will refine these uncertainties.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题