Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to 14°C as the highest temperature in Ankara on April 20, anchored by official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport station, which recorded a midday peak of 14°C under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds. METAR aviation reports corroborate this, showing temperatures topping out at 14°C around 15:50 local time amid a cool air mass suppressing typical April highs of 16–18°C. This positioning reflects verified measurement data rather than forecasts, with resolution imminent upon final MGM validation. Realistic challenges include rare post-initial data revisions uncovering an overlooked higher reading from automated sensors, though preliminary reports show strong alignment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Ankara on April 20?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 20?
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$96,658 交易量
$96,658 交易量
2026-04-20
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$96,658 交易量
$96,658 交易量
2026-04-20
8°C or below
$2,669 交易量
No
9°C
$1,840 交易量
No
10°C
$5,396 交易量
No
11°C
$6,566 交易量
No
12°C
$16,340 交易量
No
13°C
$11,601 交易量
No
14°C
$17,310 交易量
Yes
15°C
$15,800 交易量
No
16°C
$8,972 交易量
No
17°C
$4,736 交易量
No
18°C or higher
$5,427 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to 14°C as the highest temperature in Ankara on April 20, anchored by official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport station, which recorded a midday peak of 14°C under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds. METAR aviation reports corroborate this, showing temperatures topping out at 14°C around 15:50 local time amid a cool air mass suppressing typical April highs of 16–18°C. This positioning reflects verified measurement data rather than forecasts, with resolution imminent upon final MGM validation. Realistic challenges include rare post-initial data revisions uncovering an overlooked higher reading from automated sensors, though preliminary reports show strong alignment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 18, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
交易量
$96,658结束日期
2026-04-20市场开放时间
Apr 18, 2026, 12:09 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to 14°C as the highest temperature in Ankara on April 20, anchored by official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport station, which recorded a midday peak of 14°C under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds. METAR aviation reports corroborate this, showing temperatures topping out at 14°C around 15:50 local time amid a cool air mass suppressing typical April highs of 16–18°C. This positioning reflects verified measurement data rather than forecasts, with resolution imminent upon final MGM validation. Realistic challenges include rare post-initial data revisions uncovering an overlooked higher reading from automated sensors, though preliminary reports show strong alignment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$96,658结束日期
2026-04-20市场开放时间
Apr 18, 2026, 12:09 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to 14°C as the highest temperature in Ankara on April 20, anchored by official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport station, which recorded a midday peak of 14°C under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds. METAR aviation reports corroborate this, showing temperatures topping out at 14°C around 15:50 local time amid a cool air mass suppressing typical April highs of 16–18°C. This positioning reflects verified measurement data rather than forecasts, with resolution imminent upon final MGM validation. Realistic challenges include rare post-initial data revisions uncovering an overlooked higher reading from automated sensors, though preliminary reports show strong alignment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题