Turkish State Meteorological Service observations and hourly METAR data from Esenboğa International Airport confirm Ankara's highest temperature reached 21°C midday on April 26 under a persistent high-pressure ridge, light winds under 10 km/h, low humidity around 40%, and clear skies maximizing solar insolation from a morning low near 6°C—conditions consistent with GFS and ECMWF model ensembles forecasting capped warming above April climatological norms of 17–20°C highs. With sunset past and temperatures cooling to 16°C amid stable nocturnal inversion, traders' 100% implied probability on 21°C reflects ironclad observational evidence and skin-in-the-game consensus. Realistic challenges would require an anomalous late-evening föhn wind heat burst or rare data revision post-finalization, both precluded by current downward trends.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Ankara on April 26?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 26?
21°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$75,334 交易量
$75,334 交易量
2026-04-26
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$75,334 交易量
$75,334 交易量
2026-04-26
13°C or below
$821 交易量
No
14°C
$1,223 交易量
No
15°C
$1,037 交易量
No
16°C
$2,231 交易量
No
17°C
$5,391 交易量
No
18°C
$6,187 交易量
No
19°C
$10,830 交易量
No
20°C
$11,832 交易量
No
21°C
$17,345 交易量
Yes
22°C
$10,440 交易量
No
23°C or higher
$7,997 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Turkish State Meteorological Service observations and hourly METAR data from Esenboğa International Airport confirm Ankara's highest temperature reached 21°C midday on April 26 under a persistent high-pressure ridge, light winds under 10 km/h, low humidity around 40%, and clear skies maximizing solar insolation from a morning low near 6°C—conditions consistent with GFS and ECMWF model ensembles forecasting capped warming above April climatological norms of 17–20°C highs. With sunset past and temperatures cooling to 16°C amid stable nocturnal inversion, traders' 100% implied probability on 21°C reflects ironclad observational evidence and skin-in-the-game consensus. Realistic challenges would require an anomalous late-evening föhn wind heat burst or rare data revision post-finalization, both precluded by current downward trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 24, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
交易量
$75,334结束日期
2026-04-26市场开放时间
Apr 24, 2026, 12:12 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Turkish State Meteorological Service observations and hourly METAR data from Esenboğa International Airport confirm Ankara's highest temperature reached 21°C midday on April 26 under a persistent high-pressure ridge, light winds under 10 km/h, low humidity around 40%, and clear skies maximizing solar insolation from a morning low near 6°C—conditions consistent with GFS and ECMWF model ensembles forecasting capped warming above April climatological norms of 17–20°C highs. With sunset past and temperatures cooling to 16°C amid stable nocturnal inversion, traders' 100% implied probability on 21°C reflects ironclad observational evidence and skin-in-the-game consensus. Realistic challenges would require an anomalous late-evening föhn wind heat burst or rare data revision post-finalization, both precluded by current downward trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$75,334结束日期
2026-04-26市场开放时间
Apr 24, 2026, 12:12 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Turkish State Meteorological Service observations and hourly METAR data from Esenboğa International Airport confirm Ankara's highest temperature reached 21°C midday on April 26 under a persistent high-pressure ridge, light winds under 10 km/h, low humidity around 40%, and clear skies maximizing solar insolation from a morning low near 6°C—conditions consistent with GFS and ECMWF model ensembles forecasting capped warming above April climatological norms of 17–20°C highs. With sunset past and temperatures cooling to 16°C amid stable nocturnal inversion, traders' 100% implied probability on 21°C reflects ironclad observational evidence and skin-in-the-game consensus. Realistic challenges would require an anomalous late-evening föhn wind heat burst or rare data revision post-finalization, both precluded by current downward trends.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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