Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport station confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 28 reached exactly 20°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, propelling trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns closely with MGM's pre-event forecast of near 19°C and late-April climatological norms, where daily highs average 18°C but exhibit 2-3°C variability due to frontal passages and diurnal heating. The market's positioning reflects the reliability of station-specific measurements, with skin-in-the-game traders aggregating real-time data releases. Realistic challenges are negligible; only a rare post hoc revision by MGM—typically for sensor errors—could alter resolution, as final quality-controlled data is authoritative.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Ankara on April 28?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 28?
20°C 100.0%
16°C 99.9%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$59,920 交易量
$59,920 交易量
2026-04-28
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
16°C 99.9%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$59,920 交易量
$59,920 交易量
2026-04-28
13°C or below
$2,537 交易量
No
14°C
$1,604 交易量
No
15°C
$1,705 交易量
No
16°C
$2,797 交易量
No
17°C
$5,966 交易量
No
18°C
$8,314 交易量
No
19°C
$5,744 交易量
No
20°C
$11,136 交易量
Yes
21°C
$7,660 交易量
No
22°C
$5,861 交易量
No
23°C or higher
$6,596 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport station confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 28 reached exactly 20°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, propelling trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns closely with MGM's pre-event forecast of near 19°C and late-April climatological norms, where daily highs average 18°C but exhibit 2-3°C variability due to frontal passages and diurnal heating. The market's positioning reflects the reliability of station-specific measurements, with skin-in-the-game traders aggregating real-time data releases. Realistic challenges are negligible; only a rare post hoc revision by MGM—typically for sensor errors—could alter resolution, as final quality-controlled data is authoritative.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 26, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
交易量
$59,920结束日期
2026-04-28市场开放时间
Apr 26, 2026, 12:10 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport station confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 28 reached exactly 20°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, propelling trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns closely with MGM's pre-event forecast of near 19°C and late-April climatological norms, where daily highs average 18°C but exhibit 2-3°C variability due to frontal passages and diurnal heating. The market's positioning reflects the reliability of station-specific measurements, with skin-in-the-game traders aggregating real-time data releases. Realistic challenges are negligible; only a rare post hoc revision by MGM—typically for sensor errors—could alter resolution, as final quality-controlled data is authoritative.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$59,920结束日期
2026-04-28市场开放时间
Apr 26, 2026, 12:10 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport station confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 28 reached exactly 20°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, propelling trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns closely with MGM's pre-event forecast of near 19°C and late-April climatological norms, where daily highs average 18°C but exhibit 2-3°C variability due to frontal passages and diurnal heating. The market's positioning reflects the reliability of station-specific measurements, with skin-in-the-game traders aggregating real-time data releases. Realistic challenges are negligible; only a rare post hoc revision by MGM—typically for sensor errors—could alter resolution, as final quality-controlled data is authoritative.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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