Current forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS ensembles position 30–31°C as the most probable daily maximum for Ankara on July 16, aligning with market-implied odds of 42% and 32%. Mid-July climatology on the Anatolian plateau features strong solar insolation and typical highs near 30–32°C, though light northeasterly flows or variable cloud cover can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Recent short-range guidance shows stable high-pressure dominance with minimal precipitation risk, keeping temperatures in the narrow 29–31°C band observed in prior July days. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the date, with any late adjustments to wind or moisture likely to shift probabilities within the leading outcomes rather than toward extremes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月16日安卡拉的最高温度？
7月16日安卡拉的最高温度？
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$55,762 交易量
$55,762 交易量
2026-07-16
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$55,762 交易量
$55,762 交易量
2026-07-16
26°C or below
$1,462 交易量
No
27°C
$4,185 交易量
No
28°C
$7,184 交易量
No
29°C
$17,177 交易量
No
30°C
$9,296 交易量
Yes
31°C
$7,684 交易量
No
32°C
$5,225 交易量
No
33°C
$2,166 交易量
No
34°C
$436 交易量
No
35°C
$515 交易量
No
36°C or higher
$431 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS ensembles position 30–31°C as the most probable daily maximum for Ankara on July 16, aligning with market-implied odds of 42% and 32%. Mid-July climatology on the Anatolian plateau features strong solar insolation and typical highs near 30–32°C, though light northeasterly flows or variable cloud cover can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Recent short-range guidance shows stable high-pressure dominance with minimal precipitation risk, keeping temperatures in the narrow 29–31°C band observed in prior July days. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the date, with any late adjustments to wind or moisture likely to shift probabilities within the leading outcomes rather than toward extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$55,762结束日期
2026-07-16市场开放时间
Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS ensembles position 30–31°C as the most probable daily maximum for Ankara on July 16, aligning with market-implied odds of 42% and 32%. Mid-July climatology on the Anatolian plateau features strong solar insolation and typical highs near 30–32°C, though light northeasterly flows or variable cloud cover can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Recent short-range guidance shows stable high-pressure dominance with minimal precipitation risk, keeping temperatures in the narrow 29–31°C band observed in prior July days. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the date, with any late adjustments to wind or moisture likely to shift probabilities within the leading outcomes rather than toward extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$55,762结束日期
2026-07-16市场开放时间
Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Current forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS ensembles position 30–31°C as the most probable daily maximum for Ankara on July 16, aligning with market-implied odds of 42% and 32%. Mid-July climatology on the Anatolian plateau features strong solar insolation and typical highs near 30–32°C, though light northeasterly flows or variable cloud cover can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Recent short-range guidance shows stable high-pressure dominance with minimal precipitation risk, keeping temperatures in the narrow 29–31°C band observed in prior July days. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the date, with any late adjustments to wind or moisture likely to shift probabilities within the leading outcomes rather than toward extremes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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