Current numerical weather prediction models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts converge on a daytime maximum of 27°C for Ankara on June 4 under stable high-pressure conditions, mostly clear skies, and light winds. This places the market-implied odds in line with ensemble consensus, as early-June climatology features average highs near 24–25°C while recent patterns have trended slightly warmer. The outcome remains sensitive to any late-day convective development or revised model guidance that could shift the peak by 1–2°C, though such adjustments appear unlikely given the current atmospheric setup.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Ankara on June 4?
27°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$63,716 交易量
$63,716 交易量
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$63,716 交易量
$63,716 交易量
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 2, 2026, 12:45 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Current numerical weather prediction models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts converge on a daytime maximum of 27°C for Ankara on June 4 under stable high-pressure conditions, mostly clear skies, and light winds. This places the market-implied odds in line with ensemble consensus, as early-June climatology features average highs near 24–25°C while recent patterns have trended slightly warmer. The outcome remains sensitive to any late-day convective development or revised model guidance that could shift the peak by 1–2°C, though such adjustments appear unlikely given the current atmospheric setup.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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