Official observations from Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport station, corroborated by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and detailed on Weather Underground, confirm the highest temperature on May 4 reached exactly 8°C amid a prolonged early-May cold snap. Persistent northerly airflow delivered overcast skies, intermittent rain showers, and light winds, severely limiting solar insolation and diurnal warming—conditions aligned with pre-event ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting highs in the 7–9°C range. This outcome deviates sharply from Ankara's climatological May average highs of 18–20°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects verified meteorological data with negligible risk of revision, barring extraordinary measurement discrepancies across official records.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Ankara on May 4?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 4?
8°C 100.0%
1°C or below <1%
2°C <1%
3°C <1%
$110,188 交易量
$110,188 交易量
2026-05-04
1°C or below
No
2°C
No
3°C
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
Yes
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C or higher
No
8°C 100.0%
1°C or below <1%
2°C <1%
3°C <1%
$110,188 交易量
$110,188 交易量
2026-05-04
1°C or below
$4,838 交易量
No
2°C
$457 交易量
No
3°C
$403 交易量
No
4°C
$782 交易量
No
5°C
$3,777 交易量
No
6°C
$52,915 交易量
No
7°C
$6,684 交易量
No
8°C
$11,953 交易量
Yes
9°C
$12,820 交易量
No
10°C
$9,455 交易量
No
11°C or higher
$6,105 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport station, corroborated by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and detailed on Weather Underground, confirm the highest temperature on May 4 reached exactly 8°C amid a prolonged early-May cold snap. Persistent northerly airflow delivered overcast skies, intermittent rain showers, and light winds, severely limiting solar insolation and diurnal warming—conditions aligned with pre-event ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting highs in the 7–9°C range. This outcome deviates sharply from Ankara's climatological May average highs of 18–20°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects verified meteorological data with negligible risk of revision, barring extraordinary measurement discrepancies across official records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
交易量
$110,188结束日期
2026-05-04市场开放时间
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport station, corroborated by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and detailed on Weather Underground, confirm the highest temperature on May 4 reached exactly 8°C amid a prolonged early-May cold snap. Persistent northerly airflow delivered overcast skies, intermittent rain showers, and light winds, severely limiting solar insolation and diurnal warming—conditions aligned with pre-event ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting highs in the 7–9°C range. This outcome deviates sharply from Ankara's climatological May average highs of 18–20°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects verified meteorological data with negligible risk of revision, barring extraordinary measurement discrepancies across official records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$110,188结束日期
2026-05-04市场开放时间
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official observations from Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport station, corroborated by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and detailed on Weather Underground, confirm the highest temperature on May 4 reached exactly 8°C amid a prolonged early-May cold snap. Persistent northerly airflow delivered overcast skies, intermittent rain showers, and light winds, severely limiting solar insolation and diurnal warming—conditions aligned with pre-event ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting highs in the 7–9°C range. This outcome deviates sharply from Ankara's climatological May average highs of 18–20°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects verified meteorological data with negligible risk of revision, barring extraordinary measurement discrepancies across official records.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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