Recent short-term forecast model runs for Beijing highlight uncertainty from East Asian monsoon influences and potential afternoon thunderstorm development around July 9, keeping the daily maximum tightly clustered near 32–33 °C. Typical early-July climatology supports highs in the low-to-mid 30s, but variable cloud cover, timing of any convective rainfall, and boundary-layer moisture can readily shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Official guidance notes that stronger insolation under clearer skies favors the upper end of that range while increased cloudiness or earlier precipitation caps readings closer to 32 °C. With outcomes closely matched, traders are weighting the latest ensemble guidance and any revisions in steering patterns or instability indices expected before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月9日北京气温最高？
7月9日北京气温最高？
35°C 100%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$109,646 交易量
$109,646 交易量
2026-07-09
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
35°C 100%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$109,646 交易量
$109,646 交易量
2026-07-09
27°C or below
$4,201 交易量
No
28°C
$3,464 交易量
No
29°C
$2,556 交易量
No
30°C
$6,471 交易量
No
31°C
$6,979 交易量
No
32°C
$12,161 交易量
No
33°C
$12,216 交易量
No
34°C
$16,192 交易量
No
35°C
$16,616 交易量
Yes
36°C
$12,989 交易量
No
37°C or higher
$15,802 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecast model runs for Beijing highlight uncertainty from East Asian monsoon influences and potential afternoon thunderstorm development around July 9, keeping the daily maximum tightly clustered near 32–33 °C. Typical early-July climatology supports highs in the low-to-mid 30s, but variable cloud cover, timing of any convective rainfall, and boundary-layer moisture can readily shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Official guidance notes that stronger insolation under clearer skies favors the upper end of that range while increased cloudiness or earlier precipitation caps readings closer to 32 °C. With outcomes closely matched, traders are weighting the latest ensemble guidance and any revisions in steering patterns or instability indices expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$109,646结束日期
2026-07-09市场开放时间
Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecast model runs for Beijing highlight uncertainty from East Asian monsoon influences and potential afternoon thunderstorm development around July 9, keeping the daily maximum tightly clustered near 32–33 °C. Typical early-July climatology supports highs in the low-to-mid 30s, but variable cloud cover, timing of any convective rainfall, and boundary-layer moisture can readily shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Official guidance notes that stronger insolation under clearer skies favors the upper end of that range while increased cloudiness or earlier precipitation caps readings closer to 32 °C. With outcomes closely matched, traders are weighting the latest ensemble guidance and any revisions in steering patterns or instability indices expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$109,646结束日期
2026-07-09市场开放时间
Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Recent short-term forecast model runs for Beijing highlight uncertainty from East Asian monsoon influences and potential afternoon thunderstorm development around July 9, keeping the daily maximum tightly clustered near 32–33 °C. Typical early-July climatology supports highs in the low-to-mid 30s, but variable cloud cover, timing of any convective rainfall, and boundary-layer moisture can readily shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Official guidance notes that stronger insolation under clearer skies favors the upper end of that range while increased cloudiness or earlier precipitation caps readings closer to 32 °C. With outcomes closely matched, traders are weighting the latest ensemble guidance and any revisions in steering patterns or instability indices expected before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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