Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and local meteorological centers indicate Chongqing's July 18 high will likely settle near 30–32°C, reflecting the tail end of a regional heatwave expected to ease around that date. Persistent summer humidity, urban heat-island effects in the Sichuan Basin, and weakening high-pressure systems are moderating peak temperatures while keeping conditions above seasonal norms. Traders appear to weigh these dynamics against typical July averages of 33°C and the possibility of brief afternoon convection that could trim daily maxima, producing the tight clustering around 29–32°C outcomes. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and any last-minute model shifts will likely refine resolution probabilities before the market closes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月18日重庆气温最高?
34°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26℃ <1%
27°C <1%
$77,669 交易量
$77,669 交易量
25°C或以下
否
26℃
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
是
35°C或以上
否
34°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26℃ <1%
27°C <1%
$77,669 交易量
$77,669 交易量
25°C或以下
否
26℃
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
是
35°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and local meteorological centers indicate Chongqing's July 18 high will likely settle near 30–32°C, reflecting the tail end of a regional heatwave expected to ease around that date. Persistent summer humidity, urban heat-island effects in the Sichuan Basin, and weakening high-pressure systems are moderating peak temperatures while keeping conditions above seasonal norms. Traders appear to weigh these dynamics against typical July averages of 33°C and the possibility of brief afternoon convection that could trim daily maxima, producing the tight clustering around 29–32°C outcomes. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and any last-minute model shifts will likely refine resolution probabilities before the market closes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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