Forecast models from agencies including the German Weather Service and ECMWF converge on a peak temperature near 24°C for Munich on July 18, driven by moderate westerly flow, scattered thundery showers, and variable cloud cover that caps daytime heating. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from differences in shower timing and boundary-layer moisture, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 23°C and 25°C. This setup aligns with typical mid-July climatology, where average highs reach 24–25°C, while limited destabilization keeps extreme outliers below 10% probability. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria based on official maximum readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月18日慕尼黑最高温度？
7月18日慕尼黑最高温度？
26°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$143,532 交易量
$143,532 交易量
2026-07-18
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$143,532 交易量
$143,532 交易量
2026-07-18
19°C or below
$894 交易量
No
20°C
$1,199 交易量
No
21°C
$923 交易量
No
22°C
$5,906 交易量
No
23°C
$18,948 交易量
No
24°C
$9,636 交易量
No
25°C
$29,936 交易量
No
26°C
$22,407 交易量
Yes
27°C
$26,712 交易量
No
28°C
$13,895 交易量
No
29°C or higher
$13,076 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the German Weather Service and ECMWF converge on a peak temperature near 24°C for Munich on July 18, driven by moderate westerly flow, scattered thundery showers, and variable cloud cover that caps daytime heating. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from differences in shower timing and boundary-layer moisture, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 23°C and 25°C. This setup aligns with typical mid-July climatology, where average highs reach 24–25°C, while limited destabilization keeps extreme outliers below 10% probability. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria based on official maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 16, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$143,532结束日期
2026-07-18市场开放时间
Jul 16, 2026, 1:03 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the German Weather Service and ECMWF converge on a peak temperature near 24°C for Munich on July 18, driven by moderate westerly flow, scattered thundery showers, and variable cloud cover that caps daytime heating. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from differences in shower timing and boundary-layer moisture, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 23°C and 25°C. This setup aligns with typical mid-July climatology, where average highs reach 24–25°C, while limited destabilization keeps extreme outliers below 10% probability. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria based on official maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$143,532结束日期
2026-07-18市场开放时间
Jul 16, 2026, 1:03 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Forecast models from agencies including the German Weather Service and ECMWF converge on a peak temperature near 24°C for Munich on July 18, driven by moderate westerly flow, scattered thundery showers, and variable cloud cover that caps daytime heating. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from differences in shower timing and boundary-layer moisture, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 23°C and 25°C. This setup aligns with typical mid-July climatology, where average highs reach 24–25°C, while limited destabilization keeps extreme outliers below 10% probability. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria based on official maximum readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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