Forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF indicate July 19 highs in Tel Aviv near 32–35°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly flow typical of the region’s Mediterranean summer regime. This positions the 35°C bracket as the market leader at 50.5% implied probability because recent ensemble runs cluster around the upper end of July’s 30–33°C climatological average, with limited moisture or cloud cover to suppress daytime heating. Coastal sea-breeze moderation caps extreme spikes, while any slight delay in onshore winds or minor subsidence strengthening could push readings toward 36°C. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月19日特拉维夫最高气温？
7月19日特拉维夫最高气温？
34°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
35°C <1%
$125,701 交易量
$125,701 交易量
2026-07-19
32°C or below
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
35°C <1%
$125,701 交易量
$125,701 交易量
2026-07-19
32°C or below
$6,395 交易量
No
33°C
$8,593 交易量
No
34°C
$23,961 交易量
Yes
35°C
$39,846 交易量
No
36°C
$18,842 交易量
No
37°C
$11,119 交易量
No
38°C
$9,974 交易量
No
39°C
$4,797 交易量
No
40°C
$765 交易量
No
41°C
$494 交易量
No
42°C or higher
$916 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF indicate July 19 highs in Tel Aviv near 32–35°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly flow typical of the region’s Mediterranean summer regime. This positions the 35°C bracket as the market leader at 50.5% implied probability because recent ensemble runs cluster around the upper end of July’s 30–33°C climatological average, with limited moisture or cloud cover to suppress daytime heating. Coastal sea-breeze moderation caps extreme spikes, while any slight delay in onshore winds or minor subsidence strengthening could push readings toward 36°C. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 17, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$125,701结束日期
2026-07-19市场开放时间
Jul 17, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF indicate July 19 highs in Tel Aviv near 32–35°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly flow typical of the region’s Mediterranean summer regime. This positions the 35°C bracket as the market leader at 50.5% implied probability because recent ensemble runs cluster around the upper end of July’s 30–33°C climatological average, with limited moisture or cloud cover to suppress daytime heating. Coastal sea-breeze moderation caps extreme spikes, while any slight delay in onshore winds or minor subsidence strengthening could push readings toward 36°C. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$125,701结束日期
2026-07-19市场开放时间
Jul 17, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF indicate July 19 highs in Tel Aviv near 32–35°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly flow typical of the region’s Mediterranean summer regime. This positions the 35°C bracket as the market leader at 50.5% implied probability because recent ensemble runs cluster around the upper end of July’s 30–33°C climatological average, with limited moisture or cloud cover to suppress daytime heating. Coastal sea-breeze moderation caps extreme spikes, while any slight delay in onshore winds or minor subsidence strengthening could push readings toward 36°C. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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