Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models, including ECMWF and GFS, indicate Shanghai's July 19 maximum will most likely fall between 31–33°C, consistent with the tightly clustered market-implied odds. A weakening subtropical ridge and increasing moisture from the East China Sea are expected to bring periods of cloud cover and light showers that limit afternoon heating, producing modest positive anomalies relative to the mid-July climatological average near 33°C. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and 48-hour model runs will refine whether boundary-layer mixing or brief clear intervals push readings toward the upper or lower end of this narrow range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月19日上海气温最高？
7月19日上海气温最高？
33°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$164,963 交易量
$164,963 交易量
2026-07-19
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$164,963 交易量
$164,963 交易量
2026-07-19
26°C or below
$1,345 交易量
No
27°C
$285 交易量
No
28°C
$6,229 交易量
No
29°C
$7,787 交易量
No
30°C
$17,537 交易量
No
31°C
$20,809 交易量
No
32°C
$35,153 交易量
No
33°C
$23,373 交易量
Yes
34°C
$18,821 交易量
No
35°C
$16,089 交易量
No
36°C or higher
$17,534 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models, including ECMWF and GFS, indicate Shanghai's July 19 maximum will most likely fall between 31–33°C, consistent with the tightly clustered market-implied odds. A weakening subtropical ridge and increasing moisture from the East China Sea are expected to bring periods of cloud cover and light showers that limit afternoon heating, producing modest positive anomalies relative to the mid-July climatological average near 33°C. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and 48-hour model runs will refine whether boundary-layer mixing or brief clear intervals push readings toward the upper or lower end of this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 17, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$164,963结束日期
2026-07-19市场开放时间
Jul 17, 2026, 12:02 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models, including ECMWF and GFS, indicate Shanghai's July 19 maximum will most likely fall between 31–33°C, consistent with the tightly clustered market-implied odds. A weakening subtropical ridge and increasing moisture from the East China Sea are expected to bring periods of cloud cover and light showers that limit afternoon heating, producing modest positive anomalies relative to the mid-July climatological average near 33°C. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and 48-hour model runs will refine whether boundary-layer mixing or brief clear intervals push readings toward the upper or lower end of this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$164,963结束日期
2026-07-19市场开放时间
Jul 17, 2026, 12:02 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models, including ECMWF and GFS, indicate Shanghai's July 19 maximum will most likely fall between 31–33°C, consistent with the tightly clustered market-implied odds. A weakening subtropical ridge and increasing moisture from the East China Sea are expected to bring periods of cloud cover and light showers that limit afternoon heating, producing modest positive anomalies relative to the mid-July climatological average near 33°C. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and 48-hour model runs will refine whether boundary-layer mixing or brief clear intervals push readings toward the upper or lower end of this narrow range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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