Recent forecasts for Taipei indicate typical mid-July subtropical conditions with afternoon highs potentially reaching 35–37°C, driven by strong solar heating under variable cloud cover and high humidity from the East Asian monsoon. Model runs show close agreement on baseline warmth near 36°C but diverge on peak intensity due to uncertainties in local convection, sea breezes, and any weak frontal passages that could enhance or suppress maximum temperatures by 1–2°C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 36–38°C because historical July extremes in Taipei often exceed 35°C during clear spells, while recent Central Weather Administration guidance notes persistent warmth without strong typhoon or heavy rain signals that would cap readings. Updated model outputs and observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these narrow spreads.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月18日台北气温最高?
36°C 100.0%
28°C及以下 <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$64,687 交易量
$64,687 交易量
28°C及以下
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
是
37°C
否
38°C或更高
否
36°C 100.0%
28°C及以下 <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$64,687 交易量
$64,687 交易量
28°C及以下
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
是
37°C
否
38°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Recent forecasts for Taipei indicate typical mid-July subtropical conditions with afternoon highs potentially reaching 35–37°C, driven by strong solar heating under variable cloud cover and high humidity from the East Asian monsoon. Model runs show close agreement on baseline warmth near 36°C but diverge on peak intensity due to uncertainties in local convection, sea breezes, and any weak frontal passages that could enhance or suppress maximum temperatures by 1–2°C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 36–38°C because historical July extremes in Taipei often exceed 35°C during clear spells, while recent Central Weather Administration guidance notes persistent warmth without strong typhoon or heavy rain signals that would cap readings. Updated model outputs and observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these narrow spreads.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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