National Weather Service forecasts a high near 85°F in Austin on April 16 under mostly cloudy skies with a slight chance of afternoon thunderstorms, anchoring trader sentiment with market-implied odds clustered around 84-89°F amid inherent short-range uncertainty in peak heating. Persistent warm, humid southerly flow—dewpoints in the mid-60s°F—fuels potential for upper-80s if cloud breaks enhance insolation and diurnal temperature rise, but lingering synoptic cloudiness from today's isolated severe storms west of the city (hail, damaging winds) favors moderation near NWS guidance. Differentiating factors include cloud cover extent, convection timing, and light south winds 5-10 mph; overnight HRRR and NAM model updates will refine exact thresholds before resolution at official stations like Camp Mabry.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Austin on April 16?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 16?
88-89°F 31%
86-87°F 28%
90-91°F 25%
84-85°F 18%
79°F or below
2%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
18%
86-87°F
28%
88-89°F
31%
90-91°F
19%
92-93°F
7%
94-95°F
10%
96-97°F
2%
98°F or higher
1%
88-89°F 31%
86-87°F 28%
90-91°F 25%
84-85°F 18%
79°F or below
2%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
18%
86-87°F
28%
88-89°F
31%
90-91°F
19%
92-93°F
7%
94-95°F
10%
96-97°F
2%
98°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
National Weather Service forecasts a high near 85°F in Austin on April 16 under mostly cloudy skies with a slight chance of afternoon thunderstorms, anchoring trader sentiment with market-implied odds clustered around 84-89°F amid inherent short-range uncertainty in peak heating. Persistent warm, humid southerly flow—dewpoints in the mid-60s°F—fuels potential for upper-80s if cloud breaks enhance insolation and diurnal temperature rise, but lingering synoptic cloudiness from today's isolated severe storms west of the city (hail, damaging winds) favors moderation near NWS guidance. Differentiating factors include cloud cover extent, convection timing, and light south winds 5-10 mph; overnight HRRR and NAM model updates will refine exact thresholds before resolution at official stations like Camp Mabry.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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