Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model agreement for Austin's high temperature on April 17, with National Weather Service guidance centering around 89°F amid a dominant upper-level ridge over Texas promoting above-normal warmth—well above the mid-April climatological average of 80°F. The near-even split between 88-89°F (38.5%) and 90-91°F (34.0%) stems from ensemble discrepancies: GFS runs favor the upper end via enhanced afternoon insolation and lighter winds, while short-range NAM and RAP models imply slight capping from morning stratus clouds, gusty south-southeast breezes (10-15 mph), and modest boundary-layer mixing. Dry conditions limit convective interference, but resolution hinges on final cloud trends; watch evening 00Z model updates and NWS morning briefing for shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Austin on April 17?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 17?
88-89°F 39%
90-91°F 36%
86-87°F 14%
92-93°F 10%
最新
$10,140 交易量
最新
$10,140 交易量
2026-04-17
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
14%
88-89°F
39%
90-91°F
36%
92-93°F
10%
94-95°F
3%
96°F or higher
1%
88-89°F 39%
90-91°F 36%
86-87°F 14%
92-93°F 10%
最新
$10,140 交易量
最新
$10,140 交易量
2026-04-17
77°F or below
$2,071 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$714 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$829 交易量
1%
82-83°F
$719 交易量
2%
84-85°F
$712 交易量
6%
86-87°F
$235 交易量
14%
88-89°F
$365 交易量
39%
90-91°F
$546 交易量
36%
92-93°F
$1,402 交易量
10%
94-95°F
$806 交易量
3%
96°F or higher
$1,742 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model agreement for Austin's high temperature on April 17, with National Weather Service guidance centering around 89°F amid a dominant upper-level ridge over Texas promoting above-normal warmth—well above the mid-April climatological average of 80°F. The near-even split between 88-89°F (38.5%) and 90-91°F (34.0%) stems from ensemble discrepancies: GFS runs favor the upper end via enhanced afternoon insolation and lighter winds, while short-range NAM and RAP models imply slight capping from morning stratus clouds, gusty south-southeast breezes (10-15 mph), and modest boundary-layer mixing. Dry conditions limit convective interference, but resolution hinges on final cloud trends; watch evening 00Z model updates and NWS morning briefing for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
交易量
$10,140结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model agreement for Austin's high temperature on April 17, with National Weather Service guidance centering around 89°F amid a dominant upper-level ridge over Texas promoting above-normal warmth—well above the mid-April climatological average of 80°F. The near-even split between 88-89°F (38.5%) and 90-91°F (34.0%) stems from ensemble discrepancies: GFS runs favor the upper end via enhanced afternoon insolation and lighter winds, while short-range NAM and RAP models imply slight capping from morning stratus clouds, gusty south-southeast breezes (10-15 mph), and modest boundary-layer mixing. Dry conditions limit convective interference, but resolution hinges on final cloud trends; watch evening 00Z model updates and NWS morning briefing for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$10,140结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model agreement for Austin's high temperature on April 17, with National Weather Service guidance centering around 89°F amid a dominant upper-level ridge over Texas promoting above-normal warmth—well above the mid-April climatological average of 80°F. The near-even split between 88-89°F (38.5%) and 90-91°F (34.0%) stems from ensemble discrepancies: GFS runs favor the upper end via enhanced afternoon insolation and lighter winds, while short-range NAM and RAP models imply slight capping from morning stratus clouds, gusty south-southeast breezes (10-15 mph), and modest boundary-layer mixing. Dry conditions limit convective interference, but resolution hinges on final cloud trends; watch evening 00Z model updates and NWS morning briefing for shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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