Official National Weather Service observations from Austin Camp Mabry and Bergstrom International Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 18, 2026, peaked at 72-73°F, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this bin. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers from a lingering upper-level trough and northerly winds—remnants of a cold front that swept through Central Texas earlier in the week—severely limited solar heating, capping highs well below the April climatological average of 81°F. This followed record-warm early April temperatures, including ties near 93°F on April 1. With automated surface observing system (ASOS) data now finalized in daily climate reports, revision risks are negligible barring rare instrument anomalies.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Austin on April 18?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 18?
72-73°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$113,776 交易量
$113,776 交易量
2026-04-18
69°F or below
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
Yes
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88°F or higher
No
72-73°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$113,776 交易量
$113,776 交易量
2026-04-18
69°F or below
$3,703 交易量
No
70-71°F
$11,331 交易量
No
72-73°F
$23,272 交易量
Yes
74-75°F
$8,724 交易量
No
76-77°F
$7,498 交易量
No
78-79°F
$5,206 交易量
No
80-81°F
$8,855 交易量
No
82-83°F
$13,664 交易量
No
84-85°F
$7,526 交易量
No
86-87°F
$17,461 交易量
No
88°F or higher
$6,537 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from Austin Camp Mabry and Bergstrom International Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 18, 2026, peaked at 72-73°F, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this bin. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers from a lingering upper-level trough and northerly winds—remnants of a cold front that swept through Central Texas earlier in the week—severely limited solar heating, capping highs well below the April climatological average of 81°F. This followed record-warm early April temperatures, including ties near 93°F on April 1. With automated surface observing system (ASOS) data now finalized in daily climate reports, revision risks are negligible barring rare instrument anomalies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 16, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
交易量
$113,776结束日期
2026-04-18市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 12:42 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from Austin Camp Mabry and Bergstrom International Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 18, 2026, peaked at 72-73°F, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this bin. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers from a lingering upper-level trough and northerly winds—remnants of a cold front that swept through Central Texas earlier in the week—severely limited solar heating, capping highs well below the April climatological average of 81°F. This followed record-warm early April temperatures, including ties near 93°F on April 1. With automated surface observing system (ASOS) data now finalized in daily climate reports, revision risks are negligible barring rare instrument anomalies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$113,776结束日期
2026-04-18市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 12:42 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official National Weather Service observations from Austin Camp Mabry and Bergstrom International Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 18, 2026, peaked at 72-73°F, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this bin. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers from a lingering upper-level trough and northerly winds—remnants of a cold front that swept through Central Texas earlier in the week—severely limited solar heating, capping highs well below the April climatological average of 81°F. This followed record-warm early April temperatures, including ties near 93°F on April 1. With automated surface observing system (ASOS) data now finalized in daily climate reports, revision risks are negligible barring rare instrument anomalies.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题