National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high temperature near 66-69°F for Austin today, April 21, 2026, supported by model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs amid a persistent wet pattern across Central Texas. Observational data from Camp Mabry and Austin-Bergstrom stations show early morning lows in the upper 50s°F, with partial daytime heating under mostly cloudy skies and 30-40% chances of showers and thunderstorms, driven by a stalled frontal boundary and ample low-level moisture. This positioning reflects trader consensus on 62°F or higher at virtually 100% implied probability, aligning with April climatology where daily highs below 62°F are rarer than 5% historically. Realistic challenges include prolonged heavy rain enhancing evaporative cooling or denser cloud cover, though updated afternoon guidance from NOAA stations remains unlikely to shift below the threshold before evening resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Austin on April 21?
62°F or higher 100.0%
43°F or below <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$78,018 交易量
$78,018 交易量
43°F or below
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62°F or higher
Yes
62°F or higher 100.0%
43°F or below <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$78,018 交易量
$78,018 交易量
43°F or below
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62°F or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 19, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high temperature near 66-69°F for Austin today, April 21, 2026, supported by model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs amid a persistent wet pattern across Central Texas. Observational data from Camp Mabry and Austin-Bergstrom stations show early morning lows in the upper 50s°F, with partial daytime heating under mostly cloudy skies and 30-40% chances of showers and thunderstorms, driven by a stalled frontal boundary and ample low-level moisture. This positioning reflects trader consensus on 62°F or higher at virtually 100% implied probability, aligning with April climatology where daily highs below 62°F are rarer than 5% historically. Realistic challenges include prolonged heavy rain enhancing evaporative cooling or denser cloud cover, though updated afternoon guidance from NOAA stations remains unlikely to shift below the threshold before evening resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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