The National Weather Service's daily climatological report for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) confirms the highest temperature on April 27, 2026, reached 88-89°F, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome as measured by the airport's Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS). This aligns with observational data from hourly METAR reports showing peak heat in the late afternoon amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds that capped intensification, consistent with forecast model guidance from NOAA's GFS and NAM ensembles predicting moderated highs under a weak upper-level ridge. With the report finalized, resolution is imminent barring rare data revisions from quality control checks; unrealistic challenges would require confirmed sensor malfunctions or reanalysis, which occur in under 0.1% of cases historically. Traders await any final NWS updates, though positioning reflects skin-in-the-game certainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Austin on April 27?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 27?
88-89°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$81,782 交易量
$81,782 交易量
2026-04-27
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
Yes
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
88-89°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$81,782 交易量
$81,782 交易量
2026-04-27
73°F or below
$3,717 交易量
No
74-75°F
$3,011 交易量
No
76-77°F
$6,886 交易量
No
78-79°F
$4,026 交易量
No
80-81°F
$1,367 交易量
No
82-83°F
$6,840 交易量
No
84-85°F
$6,175 交易量
No
86-87°F
$15,050 交易量
No
88-89°F
$20,277 交易量
Yes
90-91°F
$6,736 交易量
No
92°F or higher
$7,697 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's daily climatological report for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) confirms the highest temperature on April 27, 2026, reached 88-89°F, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome as measured by the airport's Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS). This aligns with observational data from hourly METAR reports showing peak heat in the late afternoon amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds that capped intensification, consistent with forecast model guidance from NOAA's GFS and NAM ensembles predicting moderated highs under a weak upper-level ridge. With the report finalized, resolution is imminent barring rare data revisions from quality control checks; unrealistic challenges would require confirmed sensor malfunctions or reanalysis, which occur in under 0.1% of cases historically. Traders await any final NWS updates, though positioning reflects skin-in-the-game certainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 25, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
交易量
$81,782结束日期
2026-04-27市场开放时间
Apr 25, 2026, 12:21 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's daily climatological report for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) confirms the highest temperature on April 27, 2026, reached 88-89°F, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome as measured by the airport's Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS). This aligns with observational data from hourly METAR reports showing peak heat in the late afternoon amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds that capped intensification, consistent with forecast model guidance from NOAA's GFS and NAM ensembles predicting moderated highs under a weak upper-level ridge. With the report finalized, resolution is imminent barring rare data revisions from quality control checks; unrealistic challenges would require confirmed sensor malfunctions or reanalysis, which occur in under 0.1% of cases historically. Traders await any final NWS updates, though positioning reflects skin-in-the-game certainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$81,782结束日期
2026-04-27市场开放时间
Apr 25, 2026, 12:21 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The National Weather Service's daily climatological report for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) confirms the highest temperature on April 27, 2026, reached 88-89°F, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome as measured by the airport's Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS). This aligns with observational data from hourly METAR reports showing peak heat in the late afternoon amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds that capped intensification, consistent with forecast model guidance from NOAA's GFS and NAM ensembles predicting moderated highs under a weak upper-level ridge. With the report finalized, resolution is imminent barring rare data revisions from quality control checks; unrealistic challenges would require confirmed sensor malfunctions or reanalysis, which occur in under 0.1% of cases historically. Traders await any final NWS updates, though positioning reflects skin-in-the-game certainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题