Recent National Weather Service and local model guidance indicate a dry, warming trend across central Texas through mid-week, driven by strengthening high pressure and southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture and warmer air masses. Forecast highs for June 23 center on the mid-90s, with limited cloud cover and subsidence promoting daytime heating near or slightly above seasonal normals around 93–96 °F. Scattered convection remains possible but is not expected to suppress peak temperatures significantly. Trader consensus, reflected in the 36.5 % implied probability for 94–95 °F, aligns with this consensus range while assigning lower odds to outliers, consistent with typical model spread and the narrow resolution window for daily maximum readings at official Austin stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月23日奥斯汀的最高温度？
6月23日奥斯汀的最高温度？
92-93°F 100.0%
85°F or below <1%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$27,957 交易量
$27,957 交易量
2026-06-23
85°F or below
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
Yes
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104°F or higher
No
92-93°F 100.0%
85°F or below <1%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$27,957 交易量
$27,957 交易量
2026-06-23
85°F or below
$0 交易量
No
86-87°F
$501 交易量
No
88-89°F
$1,171 交易量
No
90-91°F
$2,222 交易量
No
92-93°F
$7,039 交易量
Yes
94-95°F
$4,943 交易量
No
96-97°F
$5,113 交易量
No
98-99°F
$5,056 交易量
No
100-101°F
$1,709 交易量
No
102-103°F
$197 交易量
No
104°F or higher
$5 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and local model guidance indicate a dry, warming trend across central Texas through mid-week, driven by strengthening high pressure and southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture and warmer air masses. Forecast highs for June 23 center on the mid-90s, with limited cloud cover and subsidence promoting daytime heating near or slightly above seasonal normals around 93–96 °F. Scattered convection remains possible but is not expected to suppress peak temperatures significantly. Trader consensus, reflected in the 36.5 % implied probability for 94–95 °F, aligns with this consensus range while assigning lower odds to outliers, consistent with typical model spread and the narrow resolution window for daily maximum readings at official Austin stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 21, 2026, 9:11 PM ET
交易量
$27,957结束日期
2026-06-23市场开放时间
Jun 21, 2026, 9:11 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and local model guidance indicate a dry, warming trend across central Texas through mid-week, driven by strengthening high pressure and southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture and warmer air masses. Forecast highs for June 23 center on the mid-90s, with limited cloud cover and subsidence promoting daytime heating near or slightly above seasonal normals around 93–96 °F. Scattered convection remains possible but is not expected to suppress peak temperatures significantly. Trader consensus, reflected in the 36.5 % implied probability for 94–95 °F, aligns with this consensus range while assigning lower odds to outliers, consistent with typical model spread and the narrow resolution window for daily maximum readings at official Austin stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$27,957结束日期
2026-06-23市场开放时间
Jun 21, 2026, 9:11 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Recent National Weather Service and local model guidance indicate a dry, warming trend across central Texas through mid-week, driven by strengthening high pressure and southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture and warmer air masses. Forecast highs for June 23 center on the mid-90s, with limited cloud cover and subsidence promoting daytime heating near or slightly above seasonal normals around 93–96 °F. Scattered convection remains possible but is not expected to suppress peak temperatures significantly. Trader consensus, reflected in the 36.5 % implied probability for 94–95 °F, aligns with this consensus range while assigning lower odds to outliers, consistent with typical model spread and the narrow resolution window for daily maximum readings at official Austin stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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