National Weather Service forecasts for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport project a high temperature of 85–92°F on May 10, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with southerly winds, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 74°F or higher. Current midday observations already exceed 81°F, confirming rapid diurnal warming from overnight lows near 70°F, consistent with May climatological norms averaging 87°F highs. Model consensus from recent runs shows minimal cooling risk before peak heating in early afternoon. Evening severe thunderstorms with slight risk of damaging winds and hail could cap extremes but are unlikely to retroactively drop the daily maximum below threshold, per official guidance; monitor hourly updates through sunset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月10日奥斯汀的最高温度？
5月10日奥斯汀的最高温度？
74°F或更高 100.0%
55°F或以下 <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$149,058 交易量
$149,058 交易量
2026-05-10
55°F或以下
否
56-57°F
否
58-59°F
否
60-61华氏度
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74°F或更高
是
74°F或更高 100.0%
55°F或以下 <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$149,058 交易量
$149,058 交易量
2026-05-10
55°F或以下
$20,499 交易量
否
56-57°F
$11,632 交易量
否
58-59°F
$9,390 交易量
否
60-61华氏度
$4,425 交易量
否
62-63°F
$9,664 交易量
否
64-65°F
$7,824 交易量
否
66-67°F
$10,704 交易量
否
68-69°F
$12,256 交易量
否
70-71°F
$13,421 交易量
否
72-73°F
$17,354 交易量
否
74°F或更高
$31,890 交易量
是
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport project a high temperature of 85–92°F on May 10, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with southerly winds, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 74°F or higher. Current midday observations already exceed 81°F, confirming rapid diurnal warming from overnight lows near 70°F, consistent with May climatological norms averaging 87°F highs. Model consensus from recent runs shows minimal cooling risk before peak heating in early afternoon. Evening severe thunderstorms with slight risk of damaging winds and hail could cap extremes but are unlikely to retroactively drop the daily maximum below threshold, per official guidance; monitor hourly updates through sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$149,058结束日期
2026-05-10市场开放时间
May 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport project a high temperature of 85–92°F on May 10, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with southerly winds, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 74°F or higher. Current midday observations already exceed 81°F, confirming rapid diurnal warming from overnight lows near 70°F, consistent with May climatological norms averaging 87°F highs. Model consensus from recent runs shows minimal cooling risk before peak heating in early afternoon. Evening severe thunderstorms with slight risk of damaging winds and hail could cap extremes but are unlikely to retroactively drop the daily maximum below threshold, per official guidance; monitor hourly updates through sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$149,058结束日期
2026-05-10市场开放时间
May 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
National Weather Service forecasts for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport project a high temperature of 85–92°F on May 10, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with southerly winds, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 74°F or higher. Current midday observations already exceed 81°F, confirming rapid diurnal warming from overnight lows near 70°F, consistent with May climatological norms averaging 87°F highs. Model consensus from recent runs shows minimal cooling risk before peak heating in early afternoon. Evening severe thunderstorms with slight risk of damaging winds and hail could cap extremes but are unlikely to retroactively drop the daily maximum below threshold, per official guidance; monitor hourly updates through sunset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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