Latest forecasts from sources like BBC Weather and the World Meteorological Centre (Beijing) project a high of 20-21°C for April 16 in Beijing, with light rain showers, northerly winds at 11 km/h, and overcast skies suppressing daytime heating amid a lingering cool pattern from recent rainy days (e.g., April 14 high of 21°C). Trader consensus favors 18°C or below at 56% implied probability, reflecting caution on model uncertainties—GFS and ECMWF ensembles often underpredict peaks under cloudy conditions—and historical April variability around a 20°C average, where cold air outbreaks occasionally cap highs below 19°C. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and station observations through afternoon hours will clarify resolution near urban measurement sites.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Beijing on April 16?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 16?
18°C or below 57%
19°C 18%
20°C 16%
21°C 14%
18°C or below
57%
19°C
18%
20°C
16%
21°C
14%
22°C
9%
23°C
7%
24°C
3%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
18°C or below 57%
19°C 18%
20°C 16%
21°C 14%
18°C or below
57%
19°C
18%
20°C
16%
21°C
14%
22°C
9%
23°C
7%
24°C
3%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 14, 2026, 6:42 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest forecasts from sources like BBC Weather and the World Meteorological Centre (Beijing) project a high of 20-21°C for April 16 in Beijing, with light rain showers, northerly winds at 11 km/h, and overcast skies suppressing daytime heating amid a lingering cool pattern from recent rainy days (e.g., April 14 high of 21°C). Trader consensus favors 18°C or below at 56% implied probability, reflecting caution on model uncertainties—GFS and ECMWF ensembles often underpredict peaks under cloudy conditions—and historical April variability around a 20°C average, where cold air outbreaks occasionally cap highs below 19°C. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and station observations through afternoon hours will clarify resolution near urban measurement sites.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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