Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance forecasts a high of 28°C in Beijing on April 18 under sunny skies with light southerly breezes, aligning with trader consensus where 27°C and 28°C each hold 28% implied probabilities and 29°C trails at 22%. This clustering reflects ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS models, which vary by 1-2°C due to uncertainties in afternoon boundary layer heating, potential high cloud cover, and urban heat island amplification at Beijing Capital International Airport, the resolution site. Recent cooler, rainy conditions through April 16 have given way to a spring warming trend above the 22°C climatological average, but subtle differences in model depictions of low-level moisture differentiate the tight race. Updated model runs and CMA bulletins expected April 17 could refine odds before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Beijing on April 18?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 18?
27°C 29%
28°C 28%
29°C 18%
26°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-18
25°C or below
8%
26°C
16%
27°C
29%
28°C
28%
29°C
18%
30°C
7%
31°C
4%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
27°C 29%
28°C 28%
29°C 18%
26°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-18
25°C or below
$96 交易量
8%
26°C
$41 交易量
16%
27°C
$64 交易量
29%
28°C
$106 交易量
28%
29°C
$315 交易量
18%
30°C
$391 交易量
7%
31°C
$216 交易量
4%
32°C
$515 交易量
2%
33°C
$369 交易量
1%
34°C
$733 交易量
<1%
35°C or higher
$698 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance forecasts a high of 28°C in Beijing on April 18 under sunny skies with light southerly breezes, aligning with trader consensus where 27°C and 28°C each hold 28% implied probabilities and 29°C trails at 22%. This clustering reflects ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS models, which vary by 1-2°C due to uncertainties in afternoon boundary layer heating, potential high cloud cover, and urban heat island amplification at Beijing Capital International Airport, the resolution site. Recent cooler, rainy conditions through April 16 have given way to a spring warming trend above the 22°C climatological average, but subtle differences in model depictions of low-level moisture differentiate the tight race. Updated model runs and CMA bulletins expected April 17 could refine odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 16, 2026, 1:08 AM ET
交易量
$3,546结束日期
2026-04-18市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 1:08 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance forecasts a high of 28°C in Beijing on April 18 under sunny skies with light southerly breezes, aligning with trader consensus where 27°C and 28°C each hold 28% implied probabilities and 29°C trails at 22%. This clustering reflects ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS models, which vary by 1-2°C due to uncertainties in afternoon boundary layer heating, potential high cloud cover, and urban heat island amplification at Beijing Capital International Airport, the resolution site. Recent cooler, rainy conditions through April 16 have given way to a spring warming trend above the 22°C climatological average, but subtle differences in model depictions of low-level moisture differentiate the tight race. Updated model runs and CMA bulletins expected April 17 could refine odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$3,546结束日期
2026-04-18市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 1:08 AM ETLatest China Meteorological Administration guidance forecasts a high of 28°C in Beijing on April 18 under sunny skies with light southerly breezes, aligning with trader consensus where 27°C and 28°C each hold 28% implied probabilities and 29°C trails at 22%. This clustering reflects ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS models, which vary by 1-2°C due to uncertainties in afternoon boundary layer heating, potential high cloud cover, and urban heat island amplification at Beijing Capital International Airport, the resolution site. Recent cooler, rainy conditions through April 16 have given way to a spring warming trend above the 22°C climatological average, but subtle differences in model depictions of low-level moisture differentiate the tight race. Updated model runs and CMA bulletins expected April 17 could refine odds before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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