Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models such as ECMWF and GFS converge on a Beijing high of 28°C for June 4, supported by persistent cloud cover, northeasterly flow, and limited daytime heating following recent regional patterns. This consensus aligns with observed temperatures in the low-to-mid 20s earlier in the week and historical early-June baselines near 25–30°C, producing the market’s near-certain 28°C outcome. Thunderstorm activity and moisture could introduce minor variability, yet model agreement through the afternoon window leaves little room for deviation outside that single degree. Updated observational data or rapid clearing could still shift the final recorded maximum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月4日北京气温最高？
6月4日北京气温最高？
28°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$296,079 交易量
$296,079 交易量
2026-06-04
25°C或以下
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
是
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C或更高
否
28°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$296,079 交易量
$296,079 交易量
2026-06-04
25°C或以下
$55,004 交易量
否
26°C
$33,009 交易量
否
27°C
$54,581 交易量
否
28°C
$69,837 交易量
是
29°C
$36,280 交易量
否
30°C
$21,300 交易量
否
31°C
$11,299 交易量
否
32°C
$7,004 交易量
否
33°C
$4,315 交易量
否
34°C
$1,536 交易量
否
35°C或更高
$1,912 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models such as ECMWF and GFS converge on a Beijing high of 28°C for June 4, supported by persistent cloud cover, northeasterly flow, and limited daytime heating following recent regional patterns. This consensus aligns with observed temperatures in the low-to-mid 20s earlier in the week and historical early-June baselines near 25–30°C, producing the market’s near-certain 28°C outcome. Thunderstorm activity and moisture could introduce minor variability, yet model agreement through the afternoon window leaves little room for deviation outside that single degree. Updated observational data or rapid clearing could still shift the final recorded maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$296,079结束日期
2026-06-04市场开放时间
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models such as ECMWF and GFS converge on a Beijing high of 28°C for June 4, supported by persistent cloud cover, northeasterly flow, and limited daytime heating following recent regional patterns. This consensus aligns with observed temperatures in the low-to-mid 20s earlier in the week and historical early-June baselines near 25–30°C, producing the market’s near-certain 28°C outcome. Thunderstorm activity and moisture could introduce minor variability, yet model agreement through the afternoon window leaves little room for deviation outside that single degree. Updated observational data or rapid clearing could still shift the final recorded maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$296,079结束日期
2026-06-04市场开放时间
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models such as ECMWF and GFS converge on a Beijing high of 28°C for June 4, supported by persistent cloud cover, northeasterly flow, and limited daytime heating following recent regional patterns. This consensus aligns with observed temperatures in the low-to-mid 20s earlier in the week and historical early-June baselines near 25–30°C, producing the market’s near-certain 28°C outcome. Thunderstorm activity and moisture could introduce minor variability, yet model agreement through the afternoon window leaves little room for deviation outside that single degree. Updated observational data or rapid clearing could still shift the final recorded maximum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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