The recorded high temperature of 33°C at Beijing Capital International Airport station on May 31 has driven the market-implied odds to 100% for that outcome. Official meteorological observations from this primary resolution source confirm the daily maximum under standard surface measurement protocols, consistent with late-spring climatology where Beijing averages near 27°C but regularly sees peaks several degrees higher amid variable synoptic patterns. Model consensus and real-time station data aligned closely with this value, leaving negligible room for higher thresholds. Only an official data revision or station-specific anomaly could realistically alter the result, though historical precedents show such adjustments are rare for daily maxima.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Beijing on May 31?
33°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$97,492 交易量
$97,492 交易量
32°C or below
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$97,492 交易量
$97,492 交易量
32°C or below
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: May 29, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The recorded high temperature of 33°C at Beijing Capital International Airport station on May 31 has driven the market-implied odds to 100% for that outcome. Official meteorological observations from this primary resolution source confirm the daily maximum under standard surface measurement protocols, consistent with late-spring climatology where Beijing averages near 27°C but regularly sees peaks several degrees higher amid variable synoptic patterns. Model consensus and real-time station data aligned closely with this value, leaving negligible room for higher thresholds. Only an official data revision or station-specific anomaly could realistically alter the result, though historical precedents show such adjustments are rare for daily maxima.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题