Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Buenos Aires' highest temperature reaching 23°C or higher on April 21 at Ministro Pistarini International Airport, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast projecting a daytime maximum of 23°C amid a warming high-pressure ridge following yesterday's cooler conditions around 19°C. Current observational data shows midday readings climbing past 21°C under partly cloudy skies and light northeast winds, consistent with model ensembles from global forecast systems indicating peak heating in the afternoon. Historical April climatology averages 22°C maxima, but today's synoptic setup favors the upper range. Realistic challenges include persistent cloud cover or isolated showers capping the high at 22°C, though SMN updates and hourly airport readings through evening carry low risk of such deviation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月21日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度?
23°C或更高 100.0%
13°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$85,043 交易量
$85,043 交易量
13°C或以下
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C或更高
是
23°C或更高 100.0%
13°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$85,043 交易量
$85,043 交易量
13°C或以下
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C或更高
是
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 19, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Buenos Aires' highest temperature reaching 23°C or higher on April 21 at Ministro Pistarini International Airport, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast projecting a daytime maximum of 23°C amid a warming high-pressure ridge following yesterday's cooler conditions around 19°C. Current observational data shows midday readings climbing past 21°C under partly cloudy skies and light northeast winds, consistent with model ensembles from global forecast systems indicating peak heating in the afternoon. Historical April climatology averages 22°C maxima, but today's synoptic setup favors the upper range. Realistic challenges include persistent cloud cover or isolated showers capping the high at 22°C, though SMN updates and hourly airport readings through evening carry low risk of such deviation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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