Recent northerly winds following the retreat of a polar air mass are the main driver lifting implied probabilities for a 22–23°C high in Buenos Aires on July 16, with those outcomes together commanding nearly half the market. Official guidance and ensemble models currently cluster near 21°C, a notable rise from early-July readings near 9–13°C and the seasonal average of 14–15°C. Subtle differences between 21°C and 23°C hinge on the exact timing of wind shifts and cloud cover, which can alter maximum temperatures by 1–2°C within the final 24 hours. Traders appear to price modest upside risk from continued warm advection while recognizing that any late southerly surge could cap the day closer to 20°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月16日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度？
7月16日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度？
24°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$59,974 交易量
$59,974 交易量
2026-07-16
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$59,974 交易量
$59,974 交易量
2026-07-16
16°C or below
$220 交易量
No
17°C
$2,741 交易量
No
18°C
$3,842 交易量
No
19°C
$7,168 交易量
No
20°C
$7,876 交易量
No
21°C
$6,125 交易量
No
22°C
$7,408 交易量
No
23°C
$6,367 交易量
No
24°C
$7,336 交易量
Yes
25°C
$7,123 交易量
No
26°C or higher
$3,768 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly winds following the retreat of a polar air mass are the main driver lifting implied probabilities for a 22–23°C high in Buenos Aires on July 16, with those outcomes together commanding nearly half the market. Official guidance and ensemble models currently cluster near 21°C, a notable rise from early-July readings near 9–13°C and the seasonal average of 14–15°C. Subtle differences between 21°C and 23°C hinge on the exact timing of wind shifts and cloud cover, which can alter maximum temperatures by 1–2°C within the final 24 hours. Traders appear to price modest upside risk from continued warm advection while recognizing that any late southerly surge could cap the day closer to 20°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 14, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$59,974结束日期
2026-07-16市场开放时间
Jul 14, 2026, 9:02 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly winds following the retreat of a polar air mass are the main driver lifting implied probabilities for a 22–23°C high in Buenos Aires on July 16, with those outcomes together commanding nearly half the market. Official guidance and ensemble models currently cluster near 21°C, a notable rise from early-July readings near 9–13°C and the seasonal average of 14–15°C. Subtle differences between 21°C and 23°C hinge on the exact timing of wind shifts and cloud cover, which can alter maximum temperatures by 1–2°C within the final 24 hours. Traders appear to price modest upside risk from continued warm advection while recognizing that any late southerly surge could cap the day closer to 20°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$59,974结束日期
2026-07-16市场开放时间
Jul 14, 2026, 9:02 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Recent northerly winds following the retreat of a polar air mass are the main driver lifting implied probabilities for a 22–23°C high in Buenos Aires on July 16, with those outcomes together commanding nearly half the market. Official guidance and ensemble models currently cluster near 21°C, a notable rise from early-July readings near 9–13°C and the seasonal average of 14–15°C. Subtle differences between 21°C and 23°C hinge on the exact timing of wind shifts and cloud cover, which can alter maximum temperatures by 1–2°C within the final 24 hours. Traders appear to price modest upside risk from continued warm advection while recognizing that any late southerly surge could cap the day closer to 20°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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