**Official observational data from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Ministro Pistarini International Airport (Ezeiza)—the standard reference for Buenos Aires temperature markets—confirm a high of 22°C on May 4, 2026, driving the market's unanimous 100% implied probability on this outcome.** This precise match with SMN's pre-event forecast and consensus from global models like ECMWF and GFS reflects stable atmospheric conditions: a lingering cool air mass over central Argentina suppressed daytime heating amid light winds and partial cloud cover, consistent with autumnal norms where May highs typically average 18–20°C. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty, such as a post hoc data revision from preliminary to final records, are highly improbable given the low forecast uncertainty and rapid alignment of trader sentiment with verified measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 4?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 4?
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$66,854 交易量
$66,854 交易量
2026-05-04
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$66,854 交易量
$66,854 交易量
2026-05-04
15°C or below
$3,305 交易量
No
16°C
$1,347 交易量
No
17°C
$2,065 交易量
No
18°C
$2,875 交易量
No
19°C
$5,193 交易量
No
20°C
$12,089 交易量
No
21°C
$8,684 交易量
No
22°C
$9,605 交易量
Yes
23°C
$11,657 交易量
No
24°C
$6,997 交易量
No
25°C or higher
$3,037 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observational data from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Ministro Pistarini International Airport (Ezeiza)—the standard reference for Buenos Aires temperature markets—confirm a high of 22°C on May 4, 2026, driving the market's unanimous 100% implied probability on this outcome.** This precise match with SMN's pre-event forecast and consensus from global models like ECMWF and GFS reflects stable atmospheric conditions: a lingering cool air mass over central Argentina suppressed daytime heating amid light winds and partial cloud cover, consistent with autumnal norms where May highs typically average 18–20°C. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty, such as a post hoc data revision from preliminary to final records, are highly improbable given the low forecast uncertainty and rapid alignment of trader sentiment with verified measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
交易量
$66,854结束日期
2026-05-04市场开放时间
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observational data from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Ministro Pistarini International Airport (Ezeiza)—the standard reference for Buenos Aires temperature markets—confirm a high of 22°C on May 4, 2026, driving the market's unanimous 100% implied probability on this outcome.** This precise match with SMN's pre-event forecast and consensus from global models like ECMWF and GFS reflects stable atmospheric conditions: a lingering cool air mass over central Argentina suppressed daytime heating amid light winds and partial cloud cover, consistent with autumnal norms where May highs typically average 18–20°C. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty, such as a post hoc data revision from preliminary to final records, are highly improbable given the low forecast uncertainty and rapid alignment of trader sentiment with verified measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$66,854结束日期
2026-05-04市场开放时间
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
**Official observational data from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Ministro Pistarini International Airport (Ezeiza)—the standard reference for Buenos Aires temperature markets—confirm a high of 22°C on May 4, 2026, driving the market's unanimous 100% implied probability on this outcome.** This precise match with SMN's pre-event forecast and consensus from global models like ECMWF and GFS reflects stable atmospheric conditions: a lingering cool air mass over central Argentina suppressed daytime heating amid light winds and partial cloud cover, consistent with autumnal norms where May highs typically average 18–20°C. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty, such as a post hoc data revision from preliminary to final records, are highly improbable given the low forecast uncertainty and rapid alignment of trader sentiment with verified measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题