Official observations from Ministro Pistarini International Airport (Ezeiza), the market's resolution source, confirm Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 5 reached exactly 24°C, aligning with trader consensus at 100% implied probability and driving the dominant positioning. This matches pre-event forecasts from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projecting a maximum around 24°C under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and a stable high-pressure system suppressing further warming despite May's typical autumn highs of 18–20°C. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF showed consensus for mild conditions without significant heat advection. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from official METAR reports or sensor recalibration, though such post hoc adjustments are infrequent in verified aviation-grade measurements. Final SMN bulletin expected within 24 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 5?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 5?
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$92,789 交易量
$92,789 交易量
2026-05-05
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$92,789 交易量
$92,789 交易量
2026-05-05
18°C or below
$15,380 交易量
No
19°C
$3,078 交易量
No
20°C
$7,627 交易量
No
21°C
$10,775 交易量
No
22°C
$9,360 交易量
No
23°C
$12,107 交易量
No
24°C
$6,675 交易量
Yes
25°C
$11,915 交易量
No
26°C
$7,989 交易量
No
27°C
$5,020 交易量
No
28°C or higher
$2,863 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Ministro Pistarini International Airport (Ezeiza), the market's resolution source, confirm Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 5 reached exactly 24°C, aligning with trader consensus at 100% implied probability and driving the dominant positioning. This matches pre-event forecasts from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projecting a maximum around 24°C under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and a stable high-pressure system suppressing further warming despite May's typical autumn highs of 18–20°C. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF showed consensus for mild conditions without significant heat advection. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from official METAR reports or sensor recalibration, though such post hoc adjustments are infrequent in verified aviation-grade measurements. Final SMN bulletin expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$92,789结束日期
2026-05-05市场开放时间
May 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Ministro Pistarini International Airport (Ezeiza), the market's resolution source, confirm Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 5 reached exactly 24°C, aligning with trader consensus at 100% implied probability and driving the dominant positioning. This matches pre-event forecasts from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projecting a maximum around 24°C under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and a stable high-pressure system suppressing further warming despite May's typical autumn highs of 18–20°C. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF showed consensus for mild conditions without significant heat advection. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from official METAR reports or sensor recalibration, though such post hoc adjustments are infrequent in verified aviation-grade measurements. Final SMN bulletin expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$92,789结束日期
2026-05-05市场开放时间
May 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official observations from Ministro Pistarini International Airport (Ezeiza), the market's resolution source, confirm Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 5 reached exactly 24°C, aligning with trader consensus at 100% implied probability and driving the dominant positioning. This matches pre-event forecasts from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projecting a maximum around 24°C under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and a stable high-pressure system suppressing further warming despite May's typical autumn highs of 18–20°C. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF showed consensus for mild conditions without significant heat advection. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from official METAR reports or sensor recalibration, though such post hoc adjustments are infrequent in verified aviation-grade measurements. Final SMN bulletin expected within 24 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题