Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 22°C (33.5% implied probability) in Busan on April 18, driven by the Korean Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast projecting a daytime high of 22°C amid morning rain (60% probability) clearing to partly sunny afternoons with light southerly winds (1-2 m/s). Recent mild conditions, including 20-22°C highs earlier this week, and mid-April climatology averaging 18-20°C support this positioning, but high uncertainty stems from variable cloud persistence post-rain, potential for lingering showers suppressing peaks to 20-21°C, or faster clearing boosting to 23°C+. Key variables include afternoon insolation rates and boundary layer mixing; watch KMA updates Friday for refined model runs before resolution at Gimhae Airport.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Busan on April 18?
Highest temperature in Busan on April 18?
21°C 28%
22°C 25%
23°C 21%
20°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-04-18
15°C or below
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
7%
20°C
11%
21°C
29%
22°C
25%
23°C
21%
24°C
4%
25°C or higher
3%
21°C 28%
22°C 25%
23°C 21%
20°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-04-18
15°C or below
$832 交易量
1%
16°C
$725 交易量
1%
17°C
$50 交易量
1%
18°C
$20 交易量
3%
19°C
$28 交易量
7%
20°C
$56 交易量
11%
21°C
$13 交易量
29%
22°C
$100 交易量
25%
23°C
$237 交易量
21%
24°C
$1,007 交易量
4%
25°C or higher
$429 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 22°C (33.5% implied probability) in Busan on April 18, driven by the Korean Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast projecting a daytime high of 22°C amid morning rain (60% probability) clearing to partly sunny afternoons with light southerly winds (1-2 m/s). Recent mild conditions, including 20-22°C highs earlier this week, and mid-April climatology averaging 18-20°C support this positioning, but high uncertainty stems from variable cloud persistence post-rain, potential for lingering showers suppressing peaks to 20-21°C, or faster clearing boosting to 23°C+. Key variables include afternoon insolation rates and boundary layer mixing; watch KMA updates Friday for refined model runs before resolution at Gimhae Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$3,496结束日期
2026-04-18市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 22°C (33.5% implied probability) in Busan on April 18, driven by the Korean Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast projecting a daytime high of 22°C amid morning rain (60% probability) clearing to partly sunny afternoons with light southerly winds (1-2 m/s). Recent mild conditions, including 20-22°C highs earlier this week, and mid-April climatology averaging 18-20°C support this positioning, but high uncertainty stems from variable cloud persistence post-rain, potential for lingering showers suppressing peaks to 20-21°C, or faster clearing boosting to 23°C+. Key variables include afternoon insolation rates and boundary layer mixing; watch KMA updates Friday for refined model runs before resolution at Gimhae Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$3,496结束日期
2026-04-18市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 22°C (33.5% implied probability) in Busan on April 18, driven by the Korean Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast projecting a daytime high of 22°C amid morning rain (60% probability) clearing to partly sunny afternoons with light southerly winds (1-2 m/s). Recent mild conditions, including 20-22°C highs earlier this week, and mid-April climatology averaging 18-20°C support this positioning, but high uncertainty stems from variable cloud persistence post-rain, potential for lingering showers suppressing peaks to 20-21°C, or faster clearing boosting to 23°C+. Key variables include afternoon insolation rates and boundary layer mixing; watch KMA updates Friday for refined model runs before resolution at Gimhae Airport.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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