Latest numerical weather prediction runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles point to a daily maximum in Busan on July 16 centered in the low-to-mid 30s °C, driven by strong solar heating under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and only modest sea-breeze moderation from the East Sea. Typical July climatology yields afternoon highs near 29 °C, yet persistent regional heatwave conditions and elevated 850 hPa temperatures are supporting upward departures of 3–5 °C. Key variables separating 33 °C from 34–35 °C outcomes include exact timing and coverage of any residual monsoon moisture, boundary-layer wind speed, and model spread in surface sensible-heat flux. Updated short-range guidance and ensemble plumes expected over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月16日釜山气温最高？
7月16日釜山气温最高？
35°C 100.0%
29°C或以下 <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$82,900 交易量
$82,900 交易量
2026-07-16
29°C或以下
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
是
36°C
否
37°C
否
38°C
否
39°C或更高
否
35°C 100.0%
29°C或以下 <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$82,900 交易量
$82,900 交易量
2026-07-16
29°C或以下
$5,721 交易量
否
30°C
$7,408 交易量
否
31°C
$10,774 交易量
否
32°C
$7,248 交易量
否
33°C
$11,977 交易量
否
34°C
$11,100 交易量
否
35°C
$10,836 交易量
是
36°C
$9,136 交易量
否
37°C
$4,460 交易量
否
38°C
$1,707 交易量
否
39°C或更高
$2,532 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles point to a daily maximum in Busan on July 16 centered in the low-to-mid 30s °C, driven by strong solar heating under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and only modest sea-breeze moderation from the East Sea. Typical July climatology yields afternoon highs near 29 °C, yet persistent regional heatwave conditions and elevated 850 hPa temperatures are supporting upward departures of 3–5 °C. Key variables separating 33 °C from 34–35 °C outcomes include exact timing and coverage of any residual monsoon moisture, boundary-layer wind speed, and model spread in surface sensible-heat flux. Updated short-range guidance and ensemble plumes expected over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$82,900结束日期
2026-07-16市场开放时间
Jul 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles point to a daily maximum in Busan on July 16 centered in the low-to-mid 30s °C, driven by strong solar heating under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and only modest sea-breeze moderation from the East Sea. Typical July climatology yields afternoon highs near 29 °C, yet persistent regional heatwave conditions and elevated 850 hPa temperatures are supporting upward departures of 3–5 °C. Key variables separating 33 °C from 34–35 °C outcomes include exact timing and coverage of any residual monsoon moisture, boundary-layer wind speed, and model spread in surface sensible-heat flux. Updated short-range guidance and ensemble plumes expected over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$82,900结束日期
2026-07-16市场开放时间
Jul 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Latest numerical weather prediction runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles point to a daily maximum in Busan on July 16 centered in the low-to-mid 30s °C, driven by strong solar heating under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and only modest sea-breeze moderation from the East Sea. Typical July climatology yields afternoon highs near 29 °C, yet persistent regional heatwave conditions and elevated 850 hPa temperatures are supporting upward departures of 3–5 °C. Key variables separating 33 °C from 34–35 °C outcomes include exact timing and coverage of any residual monsoon moisture, boundary-layer wind speed, and model spread in surface sensible-heat flux. Updated short-range guidance and ensemble plumes expected over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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