Short-term forecasts from regional models point to overcast skies and scattered showers or thundershowers over Busan on July 4, driven by lingering monsoon moisture and a coastal sea-breeze regime that caps afternoon heating. These conditions favor peak temperatures clustered around 26–28 °C, where subtle differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer moisture, and local wind convergence determine whether the daily maximum reaches the upper or lower end of that narrow range. Historical July averages near 29 °C provide context, yet the current pattern’s suppressed insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation keep trader consensus tightly focused on the mid-20s outcomes. Final Korea Meteorological Administration updates and morning model runs before resolution remain the key variables.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月4日釜山气温最高？
7月4日釜山气温最高？
28°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$83,220 交易量
$83,220 交易量
2026-07-04
21°C或以下
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
是
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C或以上
否
28°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$83,220 交易量
$83,220 交易量
2026-07-04
21°C或以下
$3,229 交易量
否
22°C
$2,979 交易量
否
23°C
$10,411 交易量
否
24°C
$8,420 交易量
否
25°C
$9,076 交易量
否
26°C
$8,763 交易量
否
27°C
$9,671 交易量
否
28°C
$11,368 交易量
是
29°C
$5,926 交易量
否
30°C
$6,742 交易量
否
31°C或以上
$6,635 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecasts from regional models point to overcast skies and scattered showers or thundershowers over Busan on July 4, driven by lingering monsoon moisture and a coastal sea-breeze regime that caps afternoon heating. These conditions favor peak temperatures clustered around 26–28 °C, where subtle differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer moisture, and local wind convergence determine whether the daily maximum reaches the upper or lower end of that narrow range. Historical July averages near 29 °C provide context, yet the current pattern’s suppressed insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation keep trader consensus tightly focused on the mid-20s outcomes. Final Korea Meteorological Administration updates and morning model runs before resolution remain the key variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$83,220结束日期
2026-07-04市场开放时间
Jul 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecasts from regional models point to overcast skies and scattered showers or thundershowers over Busan on July 4, driven by lingering monsoon moisture and a coastal sea-breeze regime that caps afternoon heating. These conditions favor peak temperatures clustered around 26–28 °C, where subtle differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer moisture, and local wind convergence determine whether the daily maximum reaches the upper or lower end of that narrow range. Historical July averages near 29 °C provide context, yet the current pattern’s suppressed insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation keep trader consensus tightly focused on the mid-20s outcomes. Final Korea Meteorological Administration updates and morning model runs before resolution remain the key variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$83,220结束日期
2026-07-04市场开放时间
Jul 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Short-term forecasts from regional models point to overcast skies and scattered showers or thundershowers over Busan on July 4, driven by lingering monsoon moisture and a coastal sea-breeze regime that caps afternoon heating. These conditions favor peak temperatures clustered around 26–28 °C, where subtle differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer moisture, and local wind convergence determine whether the daily maximum reaches the upper or lower end of that narrow range. Historical July averages near 29 °C provide context, yet the current pattern’s suppressed insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation keep trader consensus tightly focused on the mid-20s outcomes. Final Korea Meteorological Administration updates and morning model runs before resolution remain the key variables.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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