Consensus forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration project a daytime maximum of 29°C in Busan on June 15, 2026, under stable subtropical high pressure and moderate sea surface temperatures around the Korean Peninsula. Ensemble model runs show tight agreement with minimal spread, consistent with mid-June climatology where average highs typically reach 28–29°C. Traders have aligned on this outcome at near-100% implied probability given the convergence of observational data and short-range guidance, with resolution thresholds tied to official daily maximum readings. An unexpected wind shift or localized heating could nudge temperatures to 30°C, though current conditions indicate low odds of such deviations before final measurement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月15日釜山气温最高?
29°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$52,395 交易量
$52,395 交易量
24°C或以下
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
是
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C或以上
否
29°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$52,395 交易量
$52,395 交易量
24°C或以下
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
是
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Consensus forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration project a daytime maximum of 29°C in Busan on June 15, 2026, under stable subtropical high pressure and moderate sea surface temperatures around the Korean Peninsula. Ensemble model runs show tight agreement with minimal spread, consistent with mid-June climatology where average highs typically reach 28–29°C. Traders have aligned on this outcome at near-100% implied probability given the convergence of observational data and short-range guidance, with resolution thresholds tied to official daily maximum readings. An unexpected wind shift or localized heating could nudge temperatures to 30°C, though current conditions indicate low odds of such deviations before final measurement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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