Recent observational data and ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration align on a daily maximum of 30°C in Busan for June 17, driven by warm southerly flow, limited cloud cover, and above-average sea surface temperatures enhancing daytime heating along the southeastern coast. This outcome reflects the convergence of multiple model runs showing peak readings near that threshold during afternoon hours, consistent with climatological norms for mid-June under developing summer monsoon influences. While 100% market-implied odds indicate strong trader consensus, an unexpected increase in onshore breeze or earlier precipitation could cap temperatures below 30°C, though current guidance assigns low probability to such shifts before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月17日釜山气温最高?
30°C 100.0%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$69,529 交易量
$69,529 交易量
26°C或以下
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
是
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C或更高
否
30°C 100.0%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$69,529 交易量
$69,529 交易量
26°C或以下
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
是
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Recent observational data and ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration align on a daily maximum of 30°C in Busan for June 17, driven by warm southerly flow, limited cloud cover, and above-average sea surface temperatures enhancing daytime heating along the southeastern coast. This outcome reflects the convergence of multiple model runs showing peak readings near that threshold during afternoon hours, consistent with climatological norms for mid-June under developing summer monsoon influences. While 100% market-implied odds indicate strong trader consensus, an unexpected increase in onshore breeze or earlier precipitation could cap temperatures below 30°C, though current guidance assigns low probability to such shifts before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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