Korea Meteorological Administration observations at Gimhae International Airport—the official station for Busan temperature records—confirm the daytime high reached 22°C around mid-afternoon on May 10, driving Polymarket traders to a near-unanimous 100% implied probability for this outcome. Mostly cloudy conditions and light southerly winds capped peak heating, with hourly data showing temperatures falling to 20-21°C by 18:00 amid 60% humidity, aligning with short-range forecast model consensus. May climatology supports this, as Busan averages 22°C highs during the month. Realistic challenges include brief clearing allowing minor solar rebound before sunset, though decreasing insolation sharply limits upside risk; final KMA daily maximum report expected post-midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Busan on May 10?
22°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$61,098 交易量
$61,098 交易量
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$61,098 交易量
$61,098 交易量
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 8, 2026, 12:48 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Korea Meteorological Administration observations at Gimhae International Airport—the official station for Busan temperature records—confirm the daytime high reached 22°C around mid-afternoon on May 10, driving Polymarket traders to a near-unanimous 100% implied probability for this outcome. Mostly cloudy conditions and light southerly winds capped peak heating, with hourly data showing temperatures falling to 20-21°C by 18:00 amid 60% humidity, aligning with short-range forecast model consensus. May climatology supports this, as Busan averages 22°C highs during the month. Realistic challenges include brief clearing allowing minor solar rebound before sunset, though decreasing insolation sharply limits upside risk; final KMA daily maximum report expected post-midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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