Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Busan's highest temperature reaching exactly 24°C today, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast, which projects a daytime peak of 24°C under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds and moderate humidity limiting further warming. Current observations from KMA stations confirm morning temperatures climbing steadily toward this cap, consistent with regional ensemble model runs showing minimal convective activity and no heat advection from inland areas—aligning with May climatology where Busan averages highs of 22–24°C. Scenarios challenging this include prolonged solar insolation from unexpected clearing skies or microscale urban heating effects, potentially nudging readings to 25°C; KMA's evening update will provide final observational data for market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Busan on May 11?
Highest temperature in Busan on May 11?
24°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$40,620 交易量
$40,620 交易量
2026-05-11
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$40,620 交易量
$40,620 交易量
2026-05-11
16°C or below
$1,114 交易量
No
17°C
$659 交易量
No
18°C
$1,932 交易量
No
19°C
$8,055 交易量
No
20°C
$3,168 交易量
No
21°C
$2,443 交易量
No
22°C
$2,420 交易量
No
23°C
$2,628 交易量
No
24°C
$5,518 交易量
Yes
25°C
$5,978 交易量
No
26°C or higher
$6,705 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Busan's highest temperature reaching exactly 24°C today, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast, which projects a daytime peak of 24°C under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds and moderate humidity limiting further warming. Current observations from KMA stations confirm morning temperatures climbing steadily toward this cap, consistent with regional ensemble model runs showing minimal convective activity and no heat advection from inland areas—aligning with May climatology where Busan averages highs of 22–24°C. Scenarios challenging this include prolonged solar insolation from unexpected clearing skies or microscale urban heating effects, potentially nudging readings to 25°C; KMA's evening update will provide final observational data for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 9, 2026, 7:52 AM ET
交易量
$40,620结束日期
2026-05-11市场开放时间
May 9, 2026, 7:52 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Busan's highest temperature reaching exactly 24°C today, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast, which projects a daytime peak of 24°C under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds and moderate humidity limiting further warming. Current observations from KMA stations confirm morning temperatures climbing steadily toward this cap, consistent with regional ensemble model runs showing minimal convective activity and no heat advection from inland areas—aligning with May climatology where Busan averages highs of 22–24°C. Scenarios challenging this include prolonged solar insolation from unexpected clearing skies or microscale urban heating effects, potentially nudging readings to 25°C; KMA's evening update will provide final observational data for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$40,620结束日期
2026-05-11市场开放时间
May 9, 2026, 7:52 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Busan's highest temperature reaching exactly 24°C today, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast, which projects a daytime peak of 24°C under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds and moderate humidity limiting further warming. Current observations from KMA stations confirm morning temperatures climbing steadily toward this cap, consistent with regional ensemble model runs showing minimal convective activity and no heat advection from inland areas—aligning with May climatology where Busan averages highs of 22–24°C. Scenarios challenging this include prolonged solar insolation from unexpected clearing skies or microscale urban heating effects, potentially nudging readings to 25°C; KMA's evening update will provide final observational data for market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题