Current meteorological observations and short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate that Busan’s daytime high on May 20 will reach exactly 19 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light-to-moderate precipitation, and steady onshore flow that suppresses solar heating. These synoptic conditions align with historical May patterns when marine air advection keeps coastal maxima near the seasonal average rather than allowing typical late-spring warming. Trader consensus has converged on the 19 °C outcome because official station data provide a reliable, verifiable benchmark for market resolution, with only narrow uncertainty from minor timing shifts in the rain shield. Clearer skies or a temporary wind shift could still permit brief additional heating before sunset, though current model guidance shows low probability of such change before the daily maximum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Busan on May 20?
19°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$48,041 交易量
$48,041 交易量
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$48,041 交易量
$48,041 交易量
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 18, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Current meteorological observations and short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate that Busan’s daytime high on May 20 will reach exactly 19 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light-to-moderate precipitation, and steady onshore flow that suppresses solar heating. These synoptic conditions align with historical May patterns when marine air advection keeps coastal maxima near the seasonal average rather than allowing typical late-spring warming. Trader consensus has converged on the 19 °C outcome because official station data provide a reliable, verifiable benchmark for market resolution, with only narrow uncertainty from minor timing shifts in the rain shield. Clearer skies or a temporary wind shift could still permit brief additional heating before sunset, though current model guidance shows low probability of such change before the daily maximum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

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