Trader consensus at 100% for a 17°C maximum in Cape Town on June 15 reflects strong alignment between mid-winter climatology and current conditions. June averages hover near 17–18°C as the subtropical high-pressure system and cooler westerly flow suppress daytime peaks, with official South African Weather Service guidance and ensemble models showing no significant warm-air advection or berg wind events. This outcome matches historical June maxima and recent observations of 15–16°C under clear to partly cloudy skies. A realistic shift would require an unexpected strengthening of offshore flow or model error in boundary-layer mixing that pushes readings above 18°C, though such deviations remain statistically rare this time of year.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月15日开普敦气温最高？
6月15日开普敦气温最高？
17°C 100.0%
11°C或以下 <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$23,639 交易量
$23,639 交易量
2026-06-15
11°C或以下
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
是
18°C
否
19℃
否
20°C
否
21°C或更高
否
17°C 100.0%
11°C或以下 <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$23,639 交易量
$23,639 交易量
2026-06-15
11°C或以下
$185 交易量
否
12°C
$801 交易量
否
13°C
$1,773 交易量
否
14°C
$1,601 交易量
否
15°C
$3,131 交易量
否
16°C
$4,230 交易量
否
17°C
$3,603 交易量
是
18°C
$3,577 交易量
否
19℃
$1,175 交易量
否
20°C
$929 交易量
否
21°C或更高
$2,634 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at 100% for a 17°C maximum in Cape Town on June 15 reflects strong alignment between mid-winter climatology and current conditions. June averages hover near 17–18°C as the subtropical high-pressure system and cooler westerly flow suppress daytime peaks, with official South African Weather Service guidance and ensemble models showing no significant warm-air advection or berg wind events. This outcome matches historical June maxima and recent observations of 15–16°C under clear to partly cloudy skies. A realistic shift would require an unexpected strengthening of offshore flow or model error in boundary-layer mixing that pushes readings above 18°C, though such deviations remain statistically rare this time of year.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$23,639结束日期
2026-06-15市场开放时间
Jun 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at 100% for a 17°C maximum in Cape Town on June 15 reflects strong alignment between mid-winter climatology and current conditions. June averages hover near 17–18°C as the subtropical high-pressure system and cooler westerly flow suppress daytime peaks, with official South African Weather Service guidance and ensemble models showing no significant warm-air advection or berg wind events. This outcome matches historical June maxima and recent observations of 15–16°C under clear to partly cloudy skies. A realistic shift would require an unexpected strengthening of offshore flow or model error in boundary-layer mixing that pushes readings above 18°C, though such deviations remain statistically rare this time of year.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$23,639结束日期
2026-06-15市场开放时间
Jun 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader consensus at 100% for a 17°C maximum in Cape Town on June 15 reflects strong alignment between mid-winter climatology and current conditions. June averages hover near 17–18°C as the subtropical high-pressure system and cooler westerly flow suppress daytime peaks, with official South African Weather Service guidance and ensemble models showing no significant warm-air advection or berg wind events. This outcome matches historical June maxima and recent observations of 15–16°C under clear to partly cloudy skies. A realistic shift would require an unexpected strengthening of offshore flow or model error in boundary-layer mixing that pushes readings above 18°C, though such deviations remain statistically rare this time of year.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题