Trader consensus around 21°C as Cape Town’s daily maximum on June 17 reflects official South African Weather Service guidance and recent model runs showing clear skies, moderate southerly flow, and limited marine influence under a stable high-pressure ridge. This places the outcome slightly above the June climatological average of 17°C, driven by reduced cloud cover and downslope warming over the peninsula rather than broader seasonal anomalies. The South African Weather Service and global ensembles converge on a narrow range near this threshold, with minimal spread in afternoon readings. A late surge in onshore winds, unexpected coastal low development, or sensor calibration differences at official stations could shift the recorded high to 20°C or 22°C before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月17日开普敦气温最高?
21°C 100.0%
14°C或以下 <1%
15°C <1%
16℃ <1%
$37,943 交易量
$37,943 交易量
14°C或以下
否
15°C
否
16℃
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
是
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C或以上
否
21°C 100.0%
14°C或以下 <1%
15°C <1%
16℃ <1%
$37,943 交易量
$37,943 交易量
14°C或以下
否
15°C
否
16℃
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
是
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 15, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader consensus around 21°C as Cape Town’s daily maximum on June 17 reflects official South African Weather Service guidance and recent model runs showing clear skies, moderate southerly flow, and limited marine influence under a stable high-pressure ridge. This places the outcome slightly above the June climatological average of 17°C, driven by reduced cloud cover and downslope warming over the peninsula rather than broader seasonal anomalies. The South African Weather Service and global ensembles converge on a narrow range near this threshold, with minimal spread in afternoon readings. A late surge in onshore winds, unexpected coastal low development, or sensor calibration differences at official stations could shift the recorded high to 20°C or 22°C before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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