Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 29°C high in Chengdu on April 18 at 30.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 28°C and 30°C at 22.5% each, reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty from China Meteorological Administration models amid spring warming trends. Recent daily highs have climbed into the mid-20s°C over the past week, supported by a high-pressure ridge enhancing solar insolation and reducing cloud cover, though patchy rain risks could cap peaks at 28°C via increased humidity and convective activity. Climatological normals show April highs averaging 24°C but frequently hitting 28–30°C mid-month due to the Sichuan Basin's thermal dynamics and occasional föhn winds; ensemble model spreads highlight differentiating factors like boundary layer mixing and afternoon heating rates. Updated CMA guidance expected April 17 could sharpen odds before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 18?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 18?
29°C 28%
28°C 22%
30°C 22%
27°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-04-18
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
7%
27°C
13%
28°C
22%
29°C
28%
30°C
22%
31°C
8%
32°C or higher
1%
29°C 28%
28°C 22%
30°C 22%
27°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-04-18
22°C or below
$574 交易量
<1%
23°C
$368 交易量
<1%
24°C
$681 交易量
1%
25°C
$130 交易量
3%
26°C
$296 交易量
7%
27°C
$20 交易量
13%
28°C
$12 交易量
22%
29°C
$37 交易量
28%
30°C
$4 交易量
22%
31°C
$118 交易量
8%
32°C or higher
$130 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 29°C high in Chengdu on April 18 at 30.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 28°C and 30°C at 22.5% each, reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty from China Meteorological Administration models amid spring warming trends. Recent daily highs have climbed into the mid-20s°C over the past week, supported by a high-pressure ridge enhancing solar insolation and reducing cloud cover, though patchy rain risks could cap peaks at 28°C via increased humidity and convective activity. Climatological normals show April highs averaging 24°C but frequently hitting 28–30°C mid-month due to the Sichuan Basin's thermal dynamics and occasional föhn winds; ensemble model spreads highlight differentiating factors like boundary layer mixing and afternoon heating rates. Updated CMA guidance expected April 17 could sharpen odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ET
交易量
$2,368结束日期
2026-04-18市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 29°C high in Chengdu on April 18 at 30.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 28°C and 30°C at 22.5% each, reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty from China Meteorological Administration models amid spring warming trends. Recent daily highs have climbed into the mid-20s°C over the past week, supported by a high-pressure ridge enhancing solar insolation and reducing cloud cover, though patchy rain risks could cap peaks at 28°C via increased humidity and convective activity. Climatological normals show April highs averaging 24°C but frequently hitting 28–30°C mid-month due to the Sichuan Basin's thermal dynamics and occasional föhn winds; ensemble model spreads highlight differentiating factors like boundary layer mixing and afternoon heating rates. Updated CMA guidance expected April 17 could sharpen odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$2,368结束日期
2026-04-18市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket favors a 29°C high in Chengdu on April 18 at 30.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 28°C and 30°C at 22.5% each, reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty from China Meteorological Administration models amid spring warming trends. Recent daily highs have climbed into the mid-20s°C over the past week, supported by a high-pressure ridge enhancing solar insolation and reducing cloud cover, though patchy rain risks could cap peaks at 28°C via increased humidity and convective activity. Climatological normals show April highs averaging 24°C but frequently hitting 28–30°C mid-month due to the Sichuan Basin's thermal dynamics and occasional föhn winds; ensemble model spreads highlight differentiating factors like boundary layer mixing and afternoon heating rates. Updated CMA guidance expected April 17 could sharpen odds before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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