Official observations from Chengdu's meteorological stations, including Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport (ZUUU), confirm a maximum temperature of 21°C (70°F) on April 21, under partly cloudy skies with early morning light rain showers and no measurable precipitation, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent cloud cover reduced insolation, limiting daytime heating despite typical April highs averaging 20–23°C in the region per historical China Meteorological Administration (CMA) data. Model forecasts had anticipated around 20°C amid overcast conditions, but actual peaks aligned closely. Realistic challenges include rare post-processing revisions from data validation, though cross-station agreement is strong; final CMA daily summary expected soon to lock resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月21日成都气温最高？
4月21日成都气温最高？
21°C 100.0%
13℃或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$120,497 交易量
$120,497 交易量
2026-04-21
13℃或以下
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
是
22°C
否
23°C或更高
否
21°C 100.0%
13℃或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$120,497 交易量
$120,497 交易量
2026-04-21
13℃或以下
$3,332 交易量
否
14°C
$2,374 交易量
否
15°C
$6,685 交易量
否
16°C
$4,472 交易量
否
17°C
$6,851 交易量
否
18°C
$12,648 交易量
否
19°C
$22,111 交易量
否
20°C
$8,110 交易量
否
21°C
$19,921 交易量
是
22°C
$16,313 交易量
否
23°C或更高
$17,680 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Chengdu's meteorological stations, including Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport (ZUUU), confirm a maximum temperature of 21°C (70°F) on April 21, under partly cloudy skies with early morning light rain showers and no measurable precipitation, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent cloud cover reduced insolation, limiting daytime heating despite typical April highs averaging 20–23°C in the region per historical China Meteorological Administration (CMA) data. Model forecasts had anticipated around 20°C amid overcast conditions, but actual peaks aligned closely. Realistic challenges include rare post-processing revisions from data validation, though cross-station agreement is strong; final CMA daily summary expected soon to lock resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$120,497结束日期
2026-04-21市场开放时间
Apr 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Chengdu's meteorological stations, including Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport (ZUUU), confirm a maximum temperature of 21°C (70°F) on April 21, under partly cloudy skies with early morning light rain showers and no measurable precipitation, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent cloud cover reduced insolation, limiting daytime heating despite typical April highs averaging 20–23°C in the region per historical China Meteorological Administration (CMA) data. Model forecasts had anticipated around 20°C amid overcast conditions, but actual peaks aligned closely. Realistic challenges include rare post-processing revisions from data validation, though cross-station agreement is strong; final CMA daily summary expected soon to lock resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$120,497结束日期
2026-04-21市场开放时间
Apr 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official observations from Chengdu's meteorological stations, including Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport (ZUUU), confirm a maximum temperature of 21°C (70°F) on April 21, under partly cloudy skies with early morning light rain showers and no measurable precipitation, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent cloud cover reduced insolation, limiting daytime heating despite typical April highs averaging 20–23°C in the region per historical China Meteorological Administration (CMA) data. Model forecasts had anticipated around 20°C amid overcast conditions, but actual peaks aligned closely. Realistic challenges include rare post-processing revisions from data validation, though cross-station agreement is strong; final CMA daily summary expected soon to lock resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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