Traders overwhelmingly favor a 31°C high in Chengdu today because the latest regional forecast models and observational trends indicate peak daytime temperatures will reach that exact threshold under stable high-pressure conditions and light southerly flow. Daytime heating is expected to follow typical June patterns, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation to suppress the maximum. This outlook aligns with current boundary-layer thermodynamics and narrow ensemble spreads that limit upside or downside surprises through the official observation period. A notable shift in moisture advection or an unforecasted convective cell could alter the reading, though such developments remain low-probability based on the most recent guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月10日成都气温最高?
31°C 100.0%
25℃或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$55,390 交易量
$55,390 交易量
25℃或以下
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
是
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C或更高
否
31°C 100.0%
25℃或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$55,390 交易量
$55,390 交易量
25℃或以下
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
是
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 8, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Traders overwhelmingly favor a 31°C high in Chengdu today because the latest regional forecast models and observational trends indicate peak daytime temperatures will reach that exact threshold under stable high-pressure conditions and light southerly flow. Daytime heating is expected to follow typical June patterns, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation to suppress the maximum. This outlook aligns with current boundary-layer thermodynamics and narrow ensemble spreads that limit upside or downside surprises through the official observation period. A notable shift in moisture advection or an unforecasted convective cell could alter the reading, though such developments remain low-probability based on the most recent guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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