Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 25°C in Chengdu on June 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, light showers, and limited solar heating across the Sichuan Basin. Official guidance shows daytime highs stabilizing near this level amid northeasterly flow and high humidity that suppresses further warming, aligning with mid-June climatology where basin topography often moderates peaks under similar synoptic patterns. This strong model consensus supports the market's 100% implied probability for the 25°C threshold. A rapid clearing of skies before peak heating hours could allow modest additional warming, though afternoon timing and moisture advection make significant upward revisions unlikely before final observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 17?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 17?
25°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$67,572 交易量
$67,572 交易量
2026-06-17
24°C or below
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$67,572 交易量
$67,572 交易量
2026-06-17
24°C or below
$14,747 交易量
No
25°C
$7,897 交易量
Yes
26°C
$5,880 交易量
No
27°C
$6,440 交易量
No
28°C
$7,617 交易量
No
29°C
$8,230 交易量
No
30°C
$8,225 交易量
No
31°C
$5,059 交易量
No
32°C
$1,699 交易量
No
33°C
$975 交易量
No
34°C or higher
$804 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 25°C in Chengdu on June 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, light showers, and limited solar heating across the Sichuan Basin. Official guidance shows daytime highs stabilizing near this level amid northeasterly flow and high humidity that suppresses further warming, aligning with mid-June climatology where basin topography often moderates peaks under similar synoptic patterns. This strong model consensus supports the market's 100% implied probability for the 25°C threshold. A rapid clearing of skies before peak heating hours could allow modest additional warming, though afternoon timing and moisture advection make significant upward revisions unlikely before final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 15, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
交易量
$67,572结束日期
2026-06-17市场开放时间
Jun 15, 2026, 12:23 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 25°C in Chengdu on June 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, light showers, and limited solar heating across the Sichuan Basin. Official guidance shows daytime highs stabilizing near this level amid northeasterly flow and high humidity that suppresses further warming, aligning with mid-June climatology where basin topography often moderates peaks under similar synoptic patterns. This strong model consensus supports the market's 100% implied probability for the 25°C threshold. A rapid clearing of skies before peak heating hours could allow modest additional warming, though afternoon timing and moisture advection make significant upward revisions unlikely before final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$67,572结束日期
2026-06-17市场开放时间
Jun 15, 2026, 12:23 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 25°C in Chengdu on June 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, light showers, and limited solar heating across the Sichuan Basin. Official guidance shows daytime highs stabilizing near this level amid northeasterly flow and high humidity that suppresses further warming, aligning with mid-June climatology where basin topography often moderates peaks under similar synoptic patterns. This strong model consensus supports the market's 100% implied probability for the 25°C threshold. A rapid clearing of skies before peak heating hours could allow modest additional warming, though afternoon timing and moisture advection make significant upward revisions unlikely before final observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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